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Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread

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Post by The Pantry Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:34 pm

Put $25 on the Giants and they just picked it.
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Mon Nov 12, 2018 11:22 pm

Pretty good game for two dogshit teams. Alright alright g men
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Post by Tim Wakefield Tue Nov 13, 2018 7:09 pm

Tim Wakefield wrote:
Buffalo train stops next week at Ohio btw

Was hoping to be catching some points with Ohio. Current spread is Ohio -2. Think I'm still gonna be on the Bobcats
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Tue Nov 13, 2018 7:12 pm

Nuggets 4.5
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 12:48 pm

Need a lock tonight what do we got
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 12:54 pm

Michigan has scored in the 50s and 60s... on the road against nova tonight...
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 1:37 pm

I'd be interested in exploring this betting angle : taking the underdog of 7 or less points when the total is over 65.  My theory is the teams are fairly even spread wise, it's acknowledged they're going to both score alot of points. How do you handicap a favorite in that case? How can you accurately say a team is favored when they're going to light up a scoreboard? Tonight's Buffalo/Ohio game for example. Angle being just take the points every time in that scenario
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 1:55 pm

kingstonlake wrote:I'd be interested in exploring this betting angle : taking the underdog of 7 or less points when the total is over 65.  My theory is the teams are fairly even spread wise, it's acknowledged they're going to both score alot of points. How do you handicap a favorite in that case? How can you accurately say a team is favored when they're going to light up a scoreboard? Tonight's Buffalo/Ohio game for example. Angle being just take the points every time in that scenario

Even if the points are only 3? The game could be close but 3 points is a FG
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Post by Guest Wed Nov 14, 2018 2:19 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote: but 3 points is a FG

Let it never be said again that OTPT doesn't add to the knowledge on this board.
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 3:58 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:
kingstonlake wrote:I'd be interested in exploring this betting angle : taking the underdog of 7 or less points when the total is over 65.  My theory is the teams are fairly even spread wise, it's acknowledged they're going to both score alot of points. How do you handicap a favorite in that case? How can you accurately say a team is favored when they're going to light up a scoreboard? Tonight's Buffalo/Ohio game for example. Angle being just take the points every time in that scenario

Even if the points are only 3? The game could be close but 3 points is a FG

I guess the theory is that its a coin flip game with a total that high and a line under 7. Take the points.
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 4:43 pm

Buffalo +3 & u67
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 4:54 pm

kingstonlake wrote:
Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:

Even if the points are only 3? The game could be close but 3 points is a FG

I guess the theory is that its a coin flip game with a total that high and a line under 7. Take the points.

I like that.

Nova -4 1h
Nova full game
Pelicans ML
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 4:55 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:
kingstonlake wrote:

I guess the theory is that its a coin flip game with a total that high and a line under 7. Take the points.

I like that.

Nova -4 1h
Nova full game
Pelicans ML

I'm down with Nova both ways
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Post by Tim Wakefield Wed Nov 14, 2018 5:36 pm

Rolling with my Ohio pick from a week+ ago. Thanks for everything Buffalo, but it ends tonight.

Ohio ML (-130)
NIU -6.5
Michigan/Villanova o138

Let's have a Wednesday Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 969504605
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 6:48 pm

Nova has 7 points in 9 minutes
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 6:58 pm

Jesus Nova...
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Post by Tim Wakefield Wed Nov 14, 2018 6:59 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:Nova has 7 points in 9 minutes

Brutal lol
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:06 pm

I want to crawl in a ditch
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Post by Tim Wakefield Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:12 pm

Buffalo walks down the field. Ummmm
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:31 pm

Tilt
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Post by Nordic Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:37 pm

Michigan knows how to #skullfuck
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Post by kingstonlake Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:24 pm

By Buffalo and the under I meant ohio and the over...
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:58 am

Both NBA home dogs between 5-7pts covered last night......
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:29 am

kingstonlake wrote:Both NBA home dogs between 5-7pts covered last night......

Who Orlando
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:19 am

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:
kingstonlake wrote:Both NBA home dogs between 5-7pts covered last night......

Who Orlando

And Phoenix v SA
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:21 am

Ok I'm bored.  For shits and giggles I databased NBA 5-7 point home dogs for each team for their last 30 games that applied.  Home 5-7 dogs are 451-409-20

Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 Nba5-710
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:00 am

Good stuff Kingston. May i ask what made the range 5-7?
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Post by Tim Wakefield Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:05 am

kingstonlake wrote:Ok I'm bored.  For shits and giggles I databased NBA 5-7 point home dogs for each team for their last 30 games that applied.  Home 5-7 dogs are 451-409-20

Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 Nba5-710

+1.1 units
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 12:53 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:Good stuff Kingston. May i ask what made the range 5-7?

Years ago I heard it was a good angle. the range may be wrong but it was definitely in the 4-8 range so i just went with 5-7. I'll fart around later with some other crap. Anything pops up I'll post it.
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 12:56 pm

Tim Wakefield wrote:
kingstonlake wrote:Ok I'm bored.  For shits and giggles I databased NBA 5-7 point home dogs for each team for their last 30 games that applied.  Home 5-7 dogs are 451-409-20

Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 Nba5-710

+1.1 units

Prefer + 2 - +5, correct?
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Post by Guest Thu Nov 15, 2018 1:13 pm

kingstonlake wrote:I'll fart around later with some other crap. Anything pops up I'll post it.

Please send those pictures to OTPT privately.
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 3:17 pm

LooseGoose wrote:
kingstonlake wrote:I'll fart around later with some other crap. Anything pops up I'll post it.

Please send those pictures to OTPT privately.

LOL. I walked right into that one!
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:12 pm

Spurs on a back to back, took an L against the suns last night. This screams trap but clippers -6.5

Under Syracuse uconn

And i think wake just convinced me north Texas spread
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Post by Tim Wakefield Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:16 pm

I think I like Iowa +4 v. Oregon

Bets I've already locked in from earlier (GREAT line movement for me in all of them .. might try and hit a middle on Tulane/Houston if that gets to 7):

Kent St +13
Tulane +10
*Houston -7
North Texas -3.5

*Edit: fuck yeah, got someone to take Tulane +7 against me


Last edited by Tim Wakefield on Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:03 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:38 pm

Seattle -3 u49
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:40 pm

Tim Wakefield wrote:I think I like Iowa +4 v. Oregon

Bets I've already locked in from earlier (GREAT line movement for me in all of them .. might try and hit a middle on Tulane/Houston if that gets to 7):

Kent St +13
Tulane +10
North Texas -3.5

Over Over Over 148.5
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Post by kingstonlake Fri Nov 16, 2018 6:59 pm

UCONN +4 1/2
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Fri Nov 16, 2018 7:02 pm

Purdue 1h
Purdue full

Parlay: wizards, sixers(trap?)
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Post by kingstonlake Fri Nov 16, 2018 7:04 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:Purdue 1h
Purdue full

Parlay: wizards, sixers(trap?)

Sixers seemed to good to be true? Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 2599972566

Like the over in the Boise game.
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Fri Nov 16, 2018 7:27 pm

kingstonlake wrote:
Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:Purdue 1h
Purdue full

Parlay: wizards, sixers(trap?)

Sixers seemed to good to be true? Who ya got? 2018-19 gambling thread - Page 9 2599972566

Like the over in the Boise game.

Yep, that’s why i said trap next to it. But sometimes can’t turn it down. Like a bad piece of.. wat
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