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Harris Vs. Trump 2024. The battle to save America. Lets do this.

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Post by Cameron Fri 1 Nov 2024 - 13:37

The Perils of the Good-Enough Candidate

So that’s where Democrats stand a few days before the election: Trump is worse than ever and Harris will just have to do. The anxiety of the past few weeks in liberal circles doesn’t feel like a response to the polls, which haven’t changed in any significant way, but, rather, to the realization that Harris just isn’t the candidate we thought she might be just a few months back. It’s fine for everyone to just admit that Harris doesn’t represent anything other than four more years without Trump. Even her own unofficial campaign slogan—“We’re Not Going Back”—admits as much.

[...] What seems far more likely is that a second Trump Presidency would lead to unprecedented theft from public programs like Social Security and Medicare, the full ascendancy of tech and Wall Street oligarchies, and a further dissolution of the public’s faith in the government. The first few months would be a horror show of immigrant families being torn apart and deported. These actions would be opposed on city streets and in the homes of millions of Americans of conscience, but would likely not register at all with the Democratic Party, who’d be busy tacking right for 2028.

[...] I worry what might happen the next time around if the threats are harder to detect, or if the opponent is, at the very least, more competent than Trump. What will this version of the Democratic Party deliver to those same loyal voters when Trump is no longer on the other side of the ballot? This uncertain future is why it’s important to be as honest as we can about Harris being a pretty bad candidate. These voters deserve an actual vision for this country that goes beyond simply pointing out that the other guy is much worse. In this case, Harris is correct: Trump will rob this country blind but let’s just be honest about what we’re voting for—not Trump.
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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher Fri 1 Nov 2024 - 14:48

MiamiSpartan wrote:Odds mean nothing. They're just based on who random people are betting on to win. It's about as meaningful as a poll asking who people THINK will win.

Not always random. Some trying to influence.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Fri 1 Nov 2024 - 14:51

GRR Spartan wrote:Trump has said and will continue to say wretched things about individuals, groups (like UAW members) and places (like Detroit and Puerto Rico) but the MSM wanting a horse race  wants all  of us to be offended that Joe Biden used “garbage” to describe MAGA voters
the mainstream media will never hold a republican/libertarian to the same standard that they hold a Democrat to. I gave up one that a couple of decades ago.  

When you consider the mainstream media bias, Russian interference, the stupidity and gullibility of the average American,  etc., it's actually amazing that the race is as close as it is.
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Post by TravelinMan Fri 1 Nov 2024 - 17:05

DWags wrote:
TravelinMan wrote:

With recent polling, yeah, that makes sense. It goes to zero if he loses the election.



I don’t know, looking at Vegas, odds, more money is still being that that Trump wins than Harris wins

Read an interesting article by a political data guy who put down $10K on KH to win. His claim was that Polymarket specifically had it's ratio skewed by a French billionaire who dumped $30m on Trump. He also cited the gender gap in the early voting, the collapse of the GOP field operation, and Trump's MSG rally/the fallout in the PR community. Based on current odds, he'll make $27K if he wins.


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Post by Trapper Gus Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 8:32

[tw]1852421106155540596[/tw]
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Post by DWags Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 8:50

Left without comment.

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
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Post by PennSpartan Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 10:32

DWags wrote:Left without comment.

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
This should be put on a national TV ad and run 1000x until Tuesday, DWags. But I doubt the Harris campaign will. Trump immediately responded to the garbage comment from Biden by arriving in a garbage truck. Why won’t Dems fight back?
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Post by Trapper Gus Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 11:23

PennSpartan wrote:
DWags wrote:Left without comment.  

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
This should be put on a national TV ad and run 1000x until Tuesday, DWags.  But I doubt the Harris campaign will.  Trump immediately responded to the garbage comment from Biden by arriving in a garbage truck.  Why won’t Dems fight back?

It doesn't play well with the voters they are trying to attract. Hog wrassling is not where they want to be, unless it changes votes.


Last edited by Trapper Gus on Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 11:25; edited 1 time in total
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Post by TravelinMan Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 11:24

PennSpartan wrote:
DWags wrote:Left without comment.

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
This should be put on a national TV ad and run 1000x until Tuesday, DWags. But I doubt the Harris campaign will. Trump immediately responded to the garbage comment from Biden by arriving in a garbage truck. Why won’t Dems fight back?

Because the Dems are a professional organization and won’t take a shit without reviewing 3 different polls, whereas the Reps fly by the seat of Trump’s pants.
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Post by GRR Spartan Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 12:37

Disagree Gus.

Trump campaign is confident a significant majority of 55+ MAGA voters they need and may be offended have already voted.

This outrageous behavior Trump being Trump meant to get the 18-25 year old males to vote next Tuesday.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 13:09

DWags wrote:Left without comment.

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
it's almost like republican/libertarians are garbage.. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 2599972566
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 13:10

just saw a commercial for the racist, bigoted, christian sexual predator, convicted rapist and convicted felon featuring one of his 'assassination attempts'. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600 Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600
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Post by Trapper Gus Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 13:59

GRR Spartan wrote:Disagree Gus.

Trump campaign is confident a significant majority of 55+ MAGA voters they need and may be offended have already voted.

This outrageous behavior Trump being Trump meant to get the 18-25 year old males to vote next Tuesday.

Not what I meant. I was talking about what the Dems are doing.

The over 65 voters are voting for Harris thus far this cycle.
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Post by Trapper Gus Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 14:03

[tw]1852736357073879517[/tw]
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Post by PennSpartan Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 17:03

Trapper Gus wrote:
PennSpartan wrote:
This should be put on a national TV ad and run 1000x until Tuesday, DWags.  But I doubt the Harris campaign will.  Trump immediately responded to the garbage comment from Biden by arriving in a garbage truck.  Why won’t Dems fight back?

It doesn't play well with the voters they are trying to attract. Hog wrassling is not where they want to be, unless it changes votes.
I wish I could figure out where you come up with this stuff. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 294152859
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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 19:26

The Iowa poll. It's good.
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Post by Wally Fairway Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 20:09

This is the image that the Dems should be posting on social media
Orange man w/o his orange and w/o his toupee

Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 Trump_10
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Post by InTenSity Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 20:49

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:The Iowa poll. It's good.
Don't give me hope.
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Post by GRR Spartan Sat 2 Nov 2024 - 22:08

Whatever the vote, between 9 PM and 10 PM Tuesday Trump will declare victory based on early counts from heavily GOP counties setting the table for The Steal 2.0
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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 0:58

GRR Spartan wrote:Whatever the vote, between 9 PM and 10 PM Tuesday Trump will declare victory based on early counts from heavily GOP counties setting the table for The Steal 2.0

Maybe, probably. I am starting, well not starting. I am continuing to see signs that I believe are pointing to a race that isn't going to be close. He isn't going to have a leg to stand on if he loses all of the swing states. The smarter, fairer gender among us are going to put this asshole to bed.
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Post by kingstonlake Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 7:14

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Hmmm

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.

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Post by Trapper Gus Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 7:24

kingstonlake wrote:https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Hmmm

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.  


This is a highly thought of pollster, she has been on target in 6 of the last 7 elections in Iowa, she missed in 2018...

Blue Wave looking more likely.

Discussion of Polls


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Post by MiamiSpartan Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 7:40

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:
GRR Spartan wrote:Whatever the vote, between 9 PM and 10 PM Tuesday Trump will declare victory based on early counts from heavily GOP counties setting the table for The Steal 2.0

Maybe, probably. I am starting, well not starting. I am continuing to see signs that I believe are pointing to a race that isn't going to be close. He isn't going to have a leg to stand on if he loses all of the swing states. The smarter, fairer gender among us are going to put this asshole to bed.
That won't stop him from claiming victory. This is a guy that says he would win California if they counted the votes honestly.
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Post by Trapper Gus Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 7:51

Iowa Poll wrote:The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or who are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

“Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that are explaining these numbers,” Selzer said.

Independent voters, who had consistently supported Trump in the leadup to this election, now break for Harris. That’s driven by the strength of independent women, who back Harris by a 28-point margin, while independent men support Trump, but by a smaller margin.

Similarly, senior voters who are 65 and older favor Harris. But senior women support her by a more than 2-to-1 margin, 63% to 28%, while senior men favor her by just 2 percentage points, 47% to 45%.

“I like her policies on reproductive health and having women choosing their own health care, and the fact that I think that she will save our democracy and follow the rule of law,” said Linda Marshall, a 79-year-old poll respondent from Cascade who has already cast her absentee ballot for Harris.

If this is even close to correct the Harris campaign strategy is making huge inroads on the Trump voters.
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Post by Jake from State Farm Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 8:18

Granddaughter said she got in a argument with her best friend about the candidates. Granddaughter is for Harris, her friend is for Trump. They're both 8 years old. I would have loved to have seen that.
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Post by sεяεηιτλ Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 8:52

DWags wrote:Left without comment.

[tw]1852559373094052256?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]

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Post by Robert J Sakimano Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 8:55

Saw the clip of Kamala on SNL.

She was so good and it has be driving the mouth-breathing, knuckle-scraping republican/libertarians absolutely insane. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600
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Post by sεяεηιτλ Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 9:02

Jake from State Farm wrote:Granddaughter said she got in a argument with her best friend about the candidates. Granddaughter is for Harris, her friend is for Trump. They're both 8 years old. I would have loved to have seen that.

My 5 year old around Halloween was commenting on some Halloween decorated houses, she pointed at one saying that the house was great except that sign ruins it (points at trump sign).
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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 9:59

Update on early in person voting. Lines are long. My wife went back this morning. Her intention was to get there at 8, with them opening up at 8:30. Her being her, she left home at 8:45. I told her there was no way that was going to work. Sure enough lines were already formed and very long. She texted me that the city clerk is operating a satellite office in a room she found at the community center where they will give you an absentee ballot and mark you absentee. So she did that and dropped it in one of the absentee boxes. I'm considering doing the same just to avoid having to do it on Tuesday. I trust our City government but I'm still on edge about making sure our votes get counted properly. Does this raise any flags to anyone?
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Post by Trapper Gus Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 10:42

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:Update on early in person voting. Lines are long. My wife went back this morning. Her intention was to get there at 8, with them opening up at 8:30. Her being her, she left home at 8:45. I told her there was no way that was going to work. Sure enough lines were already formed and very long. She texted me that the city clerk is operating a satellite office in a room she found at the community center where they will give you an absentee ballot and mark you absentee. So she did that and dropped it in one of the absentee boxes. I'm considering doing the same just to avoid having to do it on Tuesday. I trust our City government but I'm still on edge about making sure our votes get counted properly. Does this raise any flags to anyone?

No flags here.

Despite all the Trump malarky about elections being stolen our systems are very secure.  I have way more concern about the mail not delivering than about a ballot being handed to a clerk not being counted.

You do know you can track your ballot online to make sure the clerk has it?
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Post by Travis of the Cosmos Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 10:49

Did the satellite office look like this except say “vote here”

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Post by Robert J Sakimano Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 10:52

someone stopped by our house yesterday - canvassing for Democrats - she goes "I see that your wife has voted but you haven't voted yet".. she seemed concerned. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600

I told her that I always vote in person on Election Day.. and she said in this motherly fashion "well, they're calling for rain and there may be lines.. you can vote early".. and I literally said "ma'am, I honestly don't have anything else to do.. I don't mind standing in line".. I thanked her for what she was doing, working to get out the vote while I was laying on couch watching football.

I do admire those folks - I do a lot of things, I believe, to help and support people but I've always been reluctant to knock on doors for political causes, even if it's just the good guys making sure that all the good guys get out to vote.
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Post by Trapper Gus Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 10:54

Robert J Sakimano wrote:someone stopped by our house yesterday - canvassing for Democrats - she goes "I see that your wife has voted but you haven't voted yet".. she seemed concerned. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600

I told her that I always vote in person on Election Day.. and she said in this motherly fashion "well, they're calling for rain and there may be lines.. you can vote early".. and I literally said "ma'am, I honestly don't have anything else to do.. I don't mind standing in line".. I thanked her for what she was doing, working to get out the vote while I was laying on couch watching football.

I do admire those folks - I do a lot of things, I believe, to help and support people but I've always been reluctant to knock on doors for political causes, even if it's just the good guys making sure that all the good guys get out to vote.

The Harris GOTV organization in action.  Tracking every voter, even Bob.

edit - 41% of Michigan has voted ... but what is really crazy is that out of 4.9 million voters in the 2020 election in Georgia over 4 million have already voted.
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Post by sεяεηιτλ Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 11:17

Trapper Gus wrote:
Robert J Sakimano wrote:someone stopped by our house yesterday - canvassing for Democrats - she goes "I see that your wife has voted but you haven't voted yet".. she seemed concerned. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600

I told her that I always vote in person on Election Day.. and she said in this motherly fashion "well, they're calling for rain and there may be lines.. you can vote early".. and I literally said "ma'am, I honestly don't have anything else to do.. I don't mind standing in line".. I thanked her for what she was doing, working to get out the vote while I was laying on couch watching football.

I do admire those folks - I do a lot of things, I believe, to help and support people but I've always been reluctant to knock on doors for political causes, even if it's just the good guys making sure that all the good guys get out to vote.

The Harris GOTV organization in action.  Tracking every voter, even Bob.

edit - 41% of Michigan has voted ... but what is really crazy is that out of 4.9 million voters in the 2020 election in Georgia over 4 million have already voted.

That's crazy, 4 million of 4.9million already voted. I'm not sure if that's a good thing or if the rural trumpers are getting on board with early voting. Doesn't seem possible that there's a whole lot more Democrat votes than what we saw in 2020 but hopefully i'm wrong. Winning georgia again would assuage a lot of fears by taking out a lot of avenues for a trump win.
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Post by NigelUno Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 12:37

Trapper Gus wrote:
Robert J Sakimano wrote:someone stopped by our house yesterday - canvassing for Democrats - she goes "I see that your wife has voted but you haven't voted yet".. she seemed concerned. Harris Vs. Trump 2024.  The battle to save America.  Lets do this.  - Page 6 502811600

I told her that I always vote in person on Election Day.. and she said in this motherly fashion "well, they're calling for rain and there may be lines.. you can vote early".. and I literally said "ma'am, I honestly don't have anything else to do.. I don't mind standing in line".. I thanked her for what she was doing, working to get out the vote while I was laying on couch watching football.

I do admire those folks - I do a lot of things, I believe, to help and support people but I've always been reluctant to knock on doors for political causes, even if it's just the good guys making sure that all the good guys get out to vote.

The Harris GOTV organization in action.  Tracking every voter, even Bob.

edit - 41% of Michigan has voted ... but what is really crazy is that out of 4.9 million voters in the 2020 election in Georgia over 4 million have already voted.

I think Georgia has had about 3 weeks or so of early voting. Basically you can go any day. At least where I’m at. No idea if that benefits one candidate or the other.
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Post by DWags Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 13:23

I mean, what if all the worlds leaders decide in the next World War™ we won’t use guns. We have a big spelling bee and whichever country wins it will be king of the world.

But we’ve lost all these brilliant people from Texas. It’s something to think about before you vote


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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 14:05

Trapper Gus wrote:
WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:Update on early in person voting. Lines are long. My wife went back this morning. Her intention was to get there at 8, with them opening up at 8:30. Her being her, she left home at 8:45. I told her there was no way that was going to work. Sure enough lines were already formed and very long. She texted me that the city clerk is operating a satellite office in a room she found at the community center where they will give you an absentee ballot and mark you absentee. So she did that and dropped it in one of the absentee boxes. I'm considering doing the same just to avoid having to do it on Tuesday. I trust our City government but I'm still on edge about making sure our votes get counted properly. Does this raise any flags to anyone?

No flags here.

Despite all the Trump malarky about elections being stolen our systems are very secure.  I have way more concern about the mail not delivering than about a ballot being handed to a clerk not being counted.

You do know you can track your ballot online to make sure the clerk has it?

Voted. Easy peasy. Did not take the extra effort to leave the MSU BOT blank.. When I was walking in a guy in a MSU pullover told me the line was over 2 hours. If I had known it was going to be as easy as it was to fill out the absentee, I would have told him.
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Post by Trapper Gus Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 14:15

NigelUno wrote:
Trapper Gus wrote:

The Harris GOTV organization in action.  Tracking every voter, even Bob.

edit - 41% of Michigan has voted ... but what is really crazy is that out of 4.9 million voters in the 2020 election in Georgia over 4 million have already voted.

I think Georgia has had about 3 weeks or so of early voting. Basically you can go any day. At least where I’m at. No idea if that benefits one candidate or the other.

Getting out the minority voters is an issue in Georgia, like most southern states. For any number of reasons they don't vote.
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Post by kingstonlake Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 14:29

I love the ad where they say the guy who wants to end social security promises no taxes on social security.
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Post by kingstonlake Sun 3 Nov 2024 - 14:30

I love the ad where they say democrats are forcing girls to undress in front of men, want you to vote for the guy who literally barges into naked teen girls dressing rooms.
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