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Vegas puts MSU over/under victories at 8.5

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Vegas puts MSU over/under victories at 8.5 - Page 2 Empty Re: Vegas puts MSU over/under victories at 8.5

Post by WhiteBoyHatcher 2018-05-02, 21:16

Tim Wakefield wrote:Utah State 99%
@ ASU 85%
@ Indiana 52%
Central 99%
Northwestern 80%
@ PSU 34%
Michigan 59%
Purdue 80%
@ Maryland 65%
OSU 25%
@ Nebraska 51%
Rutgers 95%

Confident against ASU. Indiana and Maryland scare me a bit and Nebraska is spooky in Lincoln. + OSU beat us so bad last year...

I'm confident we'll go over, but 8.5 seems like a good number. I think the PSU game being in Happy Valley is the reason they're is at 9.5 and we aren't. I woulda put us and them at 9 apiece

This gets us 8.24.
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Post by DWags 2018-05-02, 21:20

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:
Tim Wakefield wrote:Utah State 99%
@ ASU 85%
@ Indiana 52%
Central 99%
Northwestern 80%
@ PSU 34%
Michigan 59%
Purdue 80%
@ Maryland 65%
OSU 25%
@ Nebraska 51%
Rutgers 95%

Confident against ASU. Indiana and Maryland scare me a bit and Nebraska is spooky in Lincoln. + OSU beat us so bad last year...

I'm confident we'll go over, but 8.5 seems like a good number. I think the PSU game being in Happy Valley is the reason they're is at 9.5 and we aren't. I woulda put us and them at 9 apiece

This gets us 8.24.

I’m waiting for these lock solid confident 9+ guys to show me their bet slip. Frankly I think it’s the perfect number to make you pause. Fucking Vegas.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano 2018-05-02, 21:21

Tim Wakefield wrote:
Robert J Sakimano wrote:Can I just say that I fucking love the fact that we're talking football.

(sorry for cursing).


WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:Who are you and what did you do with Robert J Sakimano?

Sports Bob for president!
my name is Bob Sakimano and I approve this message.
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Post by Guest 2018-05-02, 21:47

DWags wrote:
WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:

This gets us 8.24.

I’m waiting for these lock solid confident 9+ guys to show me their bet slip. Frankly I think it’s the perfect number to make you pause.  Fucking Vegas.

I'm one of the rock solid 9s.  In fact I'll go 10.  I don't need a damned bet slip.  Mark Dantonio is our coach and winning 10 or more games is what he does.
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Post by Nordic 2018-05-02, 21:59

DWags wrote:Utah State H
ASU  A
Indiana A
Central H
Northwestern H
PSU A
Michigan H
Purdue H
Maryland A
OSU H
Nebraska A
Rutgers H

Positive about the bolds.   Give me a reason we win one more.

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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher 2018-05-02, 22:01

LooseGoose wrote:
DWags wrote:

I’m waiting for these lock solid confident 9+ guys to show me their bet slip. Frankly I think it’s the perfect number to make you pause.  Fucking Vegas.

I'm one of the rock solid 9s.  In fact I'll go 10.  I don't need a damned bet slip.  Mark Dantonio is our coach and winning 10 or more games is what he does.

Mostly concur. I think we will win 10 in the regular season. How I'm not sure. That said, running the percentages, 8.5 is the right number, or high even. I know that I am being generous when it comes to our win % chances in the OSU, PSU and UM games compared to how Vegas would set those moneylines. A guess at those:

@PSU - 20%
UM - 35%
OSU - 20%
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Post by Nordic 2018-05-02, 22:01

Robert J Sakimano wrote:Can I just say that I fucking love the fact that we're talking football.

(sorry for cursing).

GO GREEN!
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Post by CORNER BLITZ 2018-05-02, 22:06

we're beating the fuck out of scum
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Post by Death Roe 2018-05-02, 22:09

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Post by Nordic 2018-05-02, 22:12

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:
LooseGoose wrote:

I'm one of the rock solid 9s.  In fact I'll go 10.  I don't need a damned bet slip.  Mark Dantonio is our coach and winning 10 or more games is what he does.

Mostly concur. I think we will win 10 in the regular season. How I'm not sure. That said, running the percentages, 8.5 is the right number, or high even. I know that I am being generous when it comes to our win % chances in the OSU, PSU and UM games compared to how Vegas would set those moneylines. A guess at those:

@PSU - 20%
UM - 35%
OSU - 20%

What does ESPN's FPI say? Gotta factor crootin' rankings into your predictions Hatch.
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Post by WhiteBoyHatcher 2018-05-02, 22:21

With FPI, you can easily halve those percentages, and then divide by 6.333.
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Post by Cameron 2018-05-03, 12:24

Nordic wrote:
DWags wrote:Utah State H
ASU  A
Indiana A
Central H
Northwestern H
PSU A
Michigan H
Purdue H
Maryland A
OSU H
Nebraska A
Rutgers H

Positive about the bolds.   Give me a reason we win one more.

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