What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
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What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
I haven't yet taken the time to sit down and really look at the poll numbers, presidential voting histories, etc. I heard Trump is way ahead in the typically red state IN, which got me wondering how he'll do overall. It'll be easier to guess numbers in the Electoral College after getting a better sense of things state-by-state (obvs).
So, wha'd'ya say? Will the polls narrow, as they typically do, as the election draws closer? Or will this turn into a landslide win for HRC, with shades of Johnson v Goldwater, Nixon v McGovern, or a Reagan v Mondale margins?
So, wha'd'ya say? Will the polls narrow, as they typically do, as the election draws closer? Or will this turn into a landslide win for HRC, with shades of Johnson v Goldwater, Nixon v McGovern, or a Reagan v Mondale margins?
Last edited by tGreenWay on 8/18/2016, 10:57 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Typos)
tGreenWay- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
the debates will be important but, I don't think, as important as some people are making them out to be. This isn't a traditional election and I am guessing that about 85% of the electorate has already made up their mind about who they're supporting. With the changing minority demographics in America and the way Trump has demonized/attempted to marginalize them, the statistics just don't bode well for him - even with a very flawed candidate such as Hillary.
Turnout will be the key issue. If Hillary can't get even an average turnout, she'll win by a fairly comfortable margin. I sense that the enthusiasm we saw from the low-intellect/emotionally vulnerable people in the republican primaries is waning a bit.
I suspect Trump will carry about 24 states but Hillary will win the electoral college quite comfortably. Not necessarily a "landslide" but probably by around 120-130 electoral college votes.
At which point, republicans will (shockingly) whine about something.
Turnout will be the key issue. If Hillary can't get even an average turnout, she'll win by a fairly comfortable margin. I sense that the enthusiasm we saw from the low-intellect/emotionally vulnerable people in the republican primaries is waning a bit.
I suspect Trump will carry about 24 states but Hillary will win the electoral college quite comfortably. Not necessarily a "landslide" but probably by around 120-130 electoral college votes.
At which point, republicans will (shockingly) whine about something.
Last edited by Robert J Sakimano on 8/18/2016, 11:10 am; edited 1 time in total
Robert J Sakimano- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
What is this about? It's not like his campaign is losing...
Turtleneck- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Turtleneck wrote:What is this about? It's not like his campaign is losing...
Nanananabooboo stick your head in doodoo.
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Watch Out Pylon! wrote:Turtleneck wrote:What is this about? It's not like his campaign is losing...
Nanananabooboo stick your head in doodoo.
For some reason, I think they guy might be Blanch.
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Turtleneck wrote:Watch Out Pylon! wrote:
Nanananabooboo stick your head in doodoo.
For some reason, I think they guy might be Blanch.
You're losing.
Says who?
Polls.
Which ones?
All of them.
No response. Is his campaign pulling random supporters off of the street and putting them on TV?
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
[youtube]/E1lJ3tfQFpc[/b]
tGreenWay- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
tGreenWay wrote:[youtube]/E1lJ3tfQFpc[/b]
Fuck me.
tGreenWay- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
It is my understanding that this guy has been hired to do internal polling for the Trump campaign.
Turtleneck- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Turtleneck wrote:It is my understanding that this guy has been hired to do internal polling for the Trump campaign.
You are entitled to your math and I am entitled to the math.
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Trump and his supporters were always citing polls in the primaries, now...
Turtleneck- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
A Clinton decoy winning the general against the matriarch? I put the odds at very low.
I came back from my absence joining parenthood to tell you all government still sucks with a few exceptions and to annoy Turtleneck.
I came back from my absence joining parenthood to tell you all government still sucks with a few exceptions and to annoy Turtleneck.
xsanguine- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Congrats on the child, X.
Turtleneck- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
Thanks TN. How've you been?
xsanguine- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
I have been living the dream. Hope you are doing well.
Turtleneck- Geronte
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Re: What's the over/under on the number of states Trump will win in the General?
That's good to hear. I'm tired but alive.
Also, hospital food isn't that bad.
Also, hospital food isn't that bad.
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