Re: Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move

by CheesySpartan Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:27

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:
Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:So Michigan is the decider?

And Wisky. We matter!!!!!

Wait? You live in WI???

by **Floyd Robertson** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:29

FiveThirtyEight ‏@FiveThirtyEight 21s22 seconds ago
Trump wins Ohio. Our model now gives him a 55 percent chance of winning the election. #ElectionNight Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 US_Election_Day_Emoji_Final

Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 US_Election_Day_Emoji_Final

by **NigelUno** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:29

Hey Goose? 538 just changed their projection again. NOT based on called states, but on Wisconsin and Penn being too close to call.

They have been woefully behind all night and are admitting as such by changing how they're (now) showing the percentages.

Their data and analysis tonight has been behind. It's a face paced world...this internet thing...they've sucked tonight.

by **The Pantry** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:30

duffy munn wrote:
The Pantry wrote:
Hillary has a bunch of FBI investigations going on about her.

JFC to anyone dumb enough to vote for the slimey c u next Tuesday, and another 4 years of crazy lib presidency.

Typical Trump supporter. Can't tell us why tDonald should be president. Only why Clinton should not.

Please don't tell me you were dumb enough to vote for her. If you did, you should pack up and move to AA.

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:30

Nathan Wurtzel ‏@NathanWurtzel 16m16 minutes ago
Oh wow...look at Lackawanna County...Trump may take PA.

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:30

CheesySpartan wrote:
Watch Out Pylon! wrote:

And Wisky. We matter!!!!!

Wait? You live in WI???

Nah. I meant both states matter.

Wayne County might fuck Clinton.

by **Floyd Robertson** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:32

Steve Milloy ‏@JunkScience 2m2 minutes ago
10:29ET... NYTimes says 86% chance of Trump win.
Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 Cwyla4tXcAQSins

Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 Cwyla4tXcAQSins

by **By-Tor** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:33

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:
CheesySpartan wrote:

Wait? You live in WI???

Nah. I meant both states matter.

Wayne County might fuck Clinton.

The Dems will blame the rain.

by CheesySpartan Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:33

Did 3rd party Gary Johnson F' Clinton???...lol considering Slick Willy won in 92 because of the same.

by **NigelUno** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:34

Floyd Robertson wrote:Steve Milloy ‏@JunkScience 2m2 minutes ago
10:29ET... NYTimes says 86% chance of Trump win.

538 has Trump at 55%!!! - LooseGoose

by aualum06 Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:35

Hillary lost Arkansas lol

by CheesySpartan Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:36

NigelUno wrote:
Floyd Robertson wrote:Steve Milloy ‏@JunkScience 2m2 minutes ago
10:29ET... NYTimes says 86% chance of Trump win.

538 has Trump at 55%!!! - LooseGoose

Tilt

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:36

My wife is a huge democrat. She's not even watching any more. Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 502811600

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:36

aualum06 wrote:Hillary lost Arkansas lol

And even with Kaine they barely won VA....

by **Floyd Robertson** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:37

aualum06 wrote:Hillary lost Arkansas lol

Isn't Arky a red state in presidential elections?

by CheesySpartan Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:37

Let's all agree...Bob called this

by aualum06 Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:37

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:My wife is a huge democrat. She's not even watching any more.

Chick on CNN was basically crying

by **By-Tor** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:37

CheesySpartan wrote:Did 3rd party Gary Johnson F' Clinton???...lol considering Slick Willy won in 92 because of the same.

Not sure. I think I've read that Libertarians tend to take more votes away from repubs. I consider myself a moderate republican. Lean left on social issues and right on fiscal. I also voted for Gary.

by aualum06 Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:37

Floyd Robertson wrote:
aualum06 wrote:Hillary lost Arkansas lol

Isn't Arky a red state in presidential elections?

Traditionally but home of Bill

by **NigelUno** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:39

538 now has Clinton back at 52%. Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 502811600

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-night-forecast-2016/

NYT has Trump at 89%.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:42

My 401k was already doing shitty this year. I'm gonna get fucked in the b-hole tomorrow.

by **The Pantry** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:42

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:My wife is a huge democrat. She's not even watching any more.

Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 1494614055

Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 55953254

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:43

I'm not sure 538 isn;t right.

Trump has 4 paths.

Win PA

Win MI

Win WI

Win NH & NV

None of those look like sure things to me.

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:43

NigelUno wrote:538 now has Clinton back at 52%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-night-forecast-2016/

NYT has Trump at 89%.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

Might as well say Trump has a 50% chance of winning with a 50% margin of error.

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:45

Floyd Robertson wrote:I've yet to find a bigger ass over the last month than Seth.

Seth Davis ‏@SethDavisHoops 3m3 minutes ago
Nearly 120,000 people voted for Johnson or Stein in Virginia. Thanks guys.

Which means millions voted for an absolute shit show candidate. Thanks guys.

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:46

LooseGoose wrote:Just as Romney would have obliterated Hills.....had the Dems nominated someone that wasn't carrying all of her baggage (Biden, Warren) they would have won. So blame goes to both parties.

Yep

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:47

There were rural counties in MI that went over 70% for Trump.

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:47

Antineoplastons wrote:
Nordic wrote:My guy Gary isn/t doing to good :(

It's still early

Election Game 2016 - The political thread that Travis won't move - Page 5 3493939353

Tie goes to Gary?

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:48

Tim Wakefield wrote:Anyone wanna be my roommate in Ecuador? Quito is beautiful

by aualum06 Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:50

LooseGoose wrote:I'm not sure 538 isn;t right.

Trump has 4 paths.

Win PA

Win MI

Win WI

Win NH & NV

None of those look like sure things to me.

Are you counting Florida and north Carolina?

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:51

(((Harry Enten))) ‏@ForecasterEnten 8m8 minutes ago
Brown County (Green Bay), Wisconsin: Trump +26. Romney won it by 2.

by **The Pantry** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:52

Know some Chaldeans, including my daughter's Godfather. They were all-in voting for Trump and probably 20K+ strong in the Detroit metro area.

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:53

This shit is kind of amazing. Pretty cool that this seems to be coming down to Michigan and Wisky.

by **NigelUno** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:54

LooseGoose wrote:I'm not sure 538 isn;t right.

Trump has 4 paths.

Win PA

Win MI

Win WI

Win NH & NV

None of those look like sure things to me.

538 has been slow all night with their predictive analysis. That can't be disputed. In fact, they adjusted their own model to reflect it.

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:54

US Presidential Election - Winner
Tue 11/8 1 Donald Trump wins Election
-330
5:00PM 2 Hillary Clinton wins Election
+270

by **InTenSity** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:54

Stock market is crashing.
Bitcoin is up.

by aualum06 Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:55

Gary votes are killing Hillary's margins

by Guest Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:55

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 6m6 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
At the moment, we believe there's a 66% chance of a Democratic win in the popular vote and a Trump win in the Electoral College

by **Nordic** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:56

LooseGoose wrote:Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 6m6 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
At the moment, we believe there's a 66% chance of a Democratic win in the popular vote and a Trump win in the Electoral College

Whoever wins, I hope the popular and electoral are opposite

by **Watch Out Pylon!** Tue 8 Nov 2016 - 22:57

Channel 10 dope, "The last time Michigan went republican was 1988 for George W. Bush."

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