Trump still has a long way to go

by **Turtleneck** 2016-01-07, 13:14

Trump has lasted a lot longer than anybody thought. It has a lot of people genuinely believing he will win the nomination. While the Trump campaign did not collapse like many predicted, and he instead grew his support, he seems to have leveled off. Unless he can grow more support, he probably is not in good shape to win. But who knows. Trump has defied the odds thus far.

Think about it this way: It now looks very likely that Cruz will beat Trump in Iowa, at which point Carson’s campaign will be pretty much finished, and Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum will disappear — and with Cruz suddenly ascendant, he’s likely to pick up their supporters, pushing him up to Trump-like levels in the national polls.

Once that happens, would you really bet on Trump to beat Cruz in many of the evangelical-heavy Southern states that vote in late February or early March? In Cruz’s own state of Texas? That seems unlikely.

And Trump has more support in the South than he does in the high plains or Mountain West. So to survive a Cruz ascendancy among evangelicals, he would need to dominate in states like New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Florida.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/07/opinion/campaign-stops/how-donald-trump-loses.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&_r=0

by **Robert J Sakimano** 2016-01-07, 13:16

I sincerely hope he wins the nomination.

by **Travis of the Cosmos** 2016-01-07, 13:19

Robert J Sakimano wrote:I sincerely hope he wins the nomination.

I don't. He's a dangerous lunatic. Even though I'll probably want the democrat to win regardless, I'd rather not chance someone like him actually becoming president.

by **Floyd Robertson** 2016-01-07, 13:46

Travis of the Cosmos wrote:
Robert J Sakimano wrote:I sincerely hope he wins the nomination.

I don't. He's a dangerous lunatic. Even though I'll probably want the democrat to win regardless, I'd rather not chance someone like him actually becoming president.

I might be forced to vote for a Democratic candidate for president for the first time since the grade school mock election of 1968.

by **Robert J Sakimano** 2016-01-07, 13:54

Floyd Robertson wrote:
Travis of the Cosmos wrote:

I don't. He's a dangerous lunatic. Even though I'll probably want the democrat to win regardless, I'd rather not chance someone like him actually becoming president.

I might be forced to vote for a Democratic candidate for president for the first time since the grade school mock election of 1968.

so you don't want to make America great again? Really great?

by **Floyd Robertson** 2016-01-07, 13:56

Robert J Sakimano wrote:
Floyd Robertson wrote:

I might be forced to vote for a Democratic candidate for president for the first time since the grade school mock election of 1968.
so you don't want to make America great again? Really great?

Yes, I just don't want a megalomaniac in the White House in possession of the nuclear launch codes.

by **Blanch32** 2016-01-07, 14:41

And vote for hil??

Fuck that. Trump will make America great by keeping the world in check

by **Turtleneck** 2016-01-07, 14:43

Blanch32 wrote:And vote for hil??

Fuck that. Trump will make America great by keeping the world in check

I have a feeling he is going to need one of your pep talks before it is all said and done.

by **xsanguine** 2016-01-07, 14:49

Floyd Robertson wrote:
Robert J Sakimano wrote:
so you don't want to make America great again? Really great?

Yes, I just don't want a megalomaniac in the White House in possession of the nuclear launch codes.

Which of them is not a megalomaniac?

by Guest 2016-01-07, 15:08

Turtleneck wrote:Trump has lasted a lot longer than anybody thought.

LOL - amazing that he's "lasted" and not a single vote has been cast yet.

by **Floyd Robertson** 2016-01-07, 15:09

xsanguine wrote:
Floyd Robertson wrote:

Yes, I just don't want a megalomaniac in the White House in possession of the nuclear launch codes.

Which of them is not a megalomaniac?

I understand the point you're making, but wouldn't you admit that Trump is little further out on the scale?

by **Turtleneck** 2016-01-07, 15:34

LooseGoose wrote:
Turtleneck wrote:Trump has lasted a lot longer than anybody thought.

LOL - amazing that he's "lasted" and not a single vote has been cast yet.

He has lasted. He is still in the race, right? He is still campaigning and just launched an ad, right? So he has lasted. Not sure why that is a tough concept for you. Most people thought if he was still even in the race within a month of Iowa, he would be an afterthought not worth talking about. Is he going to win? No. Has he lasted? Yes. Two different things.

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