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Is the UAW strike going to affect anyone here?

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Post by DWags Sat Sep 16, 2023 3:13 pm

I’m in a unique area and business where in Oakland Wayne and macomb county my business is largely from the uaw family workers. I absolutely could tell for the last 4-6 weeks people were holding back. Probably anticipating a strike so not spending. In the other three counties up north it’s business as usual. No effect whatsoever.

Are you guys seeing any or is it having an adverse effect on you? Will it if it goes for a while?
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Post by The Pantry Sat Sep 16, 2023 4:13 pm

Not yet because the UAW is striking at select plants for now, hitting all the Big 3 at once for the first time.  Their list of demands is kind of wild IMO.

Key demands from the union have included 40% hourly pay increases, a reduced 32-hour workweek, a shift back to traditional pensions, the elimination of compensation tiers and a restoration of cost-of-living adjustments, among other items.

The UAW is nowhere near as big and powerful as it use to be but I think the membership in this article is very understated

For first time in history, union workers strike against all Big Three automakers
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Post by kingstonlake Sat Sep 16, 2023 4:17 pm

I’m sure suppliers will be thrilled when the big three demands cuts from their suppliers to help pay for whatever the settle for.
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Post by GRR Spartan Sat Sep 16, 2023 4:29 pm

Think the workers were being cautious because they have never experienced selective strikes on plants of all the Detroit 3.

If Chrysler, Ford or GM drew the short stay the other's employees would still be punching in and collecting full pay and benefits thinking they dodged the bullet.

Initially the bars and restaurants around the affected plants are going to suffer first.
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Sat Sep 16, 2023 5:21 pm

The Pantry wrote:Not yet because the UAW is striking at select plants for now, hitting all the Big 3 at once for the first time.  Their list of demands is kind of wild IMO.

Key demands from the union have included 40% hourly pay increases, a reduced 32-hour workweek, a shift back to traditional pensions, the elimination of compensation tiers and a restoration of cost-of-living adjustments, among other items.

The UAW is nowhere near as big and powerful as it use to be but I think the membership in this article is very understated

For first time in history, union workers strike against all Big Three automakers
From what I read, the demands are mimicking the executives... seems fair to me.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Sat Sep 16, 2023 5:31 pm

Proud union member here, but in the MEA.

America needs to support our workers.

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Post by tGreenWay Sat Sep 16, 2023 5:54 pm

I’m not having to make as many doughnuts as I usually do.
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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Oct 26, 2023 9:28 am

UAW ends Ford strike after tentative deal reached...

https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2023/10/uaw-reaches-tentative-agreement-with-ford-sending-20000-employees-back-to-work.html
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Post by Motown Spartan Thu Oct 26, 2023 9:32 am

Trapper Gus wrote:UAW ends Ford strike after tentative deal reached...

https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2023/10/uaw-reaches-tentative-agreement-with-ford-sending-20000-employees-back-to-work.html

This deal puts a lot of added pressure on GM and Stellantis as their margins are slightly smaller than Fords.
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Oct 27, 2023 8:38 am

Motown Spartan wrote:
Trapper Gus wrote:UAW ends Ford strike after tentative deal reached...

https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2023/10/uaw-reaches-tentative-agreement-with-ford-sending-20000-employees-back-to-work.html

This deal puts a lot of added pressure on GM and Stellantis as their margins are slightly smaller than Fords.

A study this month by Moody’s Investor Service found that annual labor costs could rise by $1.1 billion for Stellantis, $1.2 billion for GM and $1.4 billion for Ford in the final year of the contract. The study assumed a 20% increase in hourly labor costs.

Wheaton said the companies are making billions and now can afford the higher labor costs, which he estimated are 6% to 8% of the cost of a vehicle.

https://apnews.com/article/auto-workers-ford-stellantis-general-motors-agreement-strike-a09c482d25590810054de9daa017748b
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Mon Oct 30, 2023 9:54 am

reports that a tentative agreement has been reached.
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Post by tGreenWay Mon Oct 30, 2023 10:54 am

Time to make the doughnuts.
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Post by GRR Spartan Mon Oct 30, 2023 11:04 am

Mary Bara and the GM negotiating committee were holding out when they saw the light. It was a market share train for trucks pulling away.

But when Stellantis joined Ford and the UAW announced the GM truck plant in Arlington TX was the next for targeted plants, GM saw the light.

Never thought the UAW as going to get their initial ask of 40% wage increases and think that was a starting point to get rid of the tiered workforce.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Oct 31, 2023 11:11 pm

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/31/toyota-raises-uaw-strike-ford-gm
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Post by The Pantry Mon Nov 13, 2023 6:05 pm


Stellantis offering buyouts to about half its US salaried employees
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Post by GRR Spartan Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:19 pm

Toyota, then Honda and today Hyundai announced pay raises.

At Honda they've cut the seniority from 6 to 3 years to get the top hourly wage on the assembly line.

I suspect Toyota and Hyundai made similar changes.
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Post by Nordic Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:33 pm

The Pantry wrote:
Stellantis offering buyouts to about half its US salaried employees

Always a precursor to layoffs. Gotta take the buyout if offered.
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:48 pm

Why are they turning these down?
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Post by Nordic Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:02 pm

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Why are they turning these down?

Because they want a job and automotive pays very well. Maybe you’ve worked there for 20+ years. Maybe you have family here and don’t want to move. Maybe you just bought a house or had a kid.

The smart ones will take buyout and start the job hunt now. If they don’t get enough takers (and they won’t), they will start cutting. But there won’t be enough open spots for everyone. Especially at the same pay/level.

I don’t think it is an easy decision to take it, but it is the right decision.


Last edited by Nordic on Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:15 pm; edited 3 times in total
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Post by The Pantry Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:09 pm

Nordic wrote:
The Pantry wrote:
Stellantis offering buyouts to about half its US salaried employees

Always a precursor to layoffs. Gotta take the buyout if offered.
Lot of workforce to offer to let go at one time.  Did Stellantis overstaff?  JMO...my place has been doing the same thing over a year.  The "foreign" investment firm that bought our place hoping to flip it might need to hang on a little longer.
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Post by Nordic Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:12 pm

The Pantry wrote:
Nordic wrote:

Always a precursor to layoffs. Gotta take the buyout if offered.
Lot of workforce to offer to let go at one time.  Did Stellantis overstaff?  JMO...my place has been doing the same thing over a year.  The "foreign" investment firm that bought our place hoping to flip it might need to hang on a little longer.

Massive amount. My guess is they only expect a certain % take it. No idea what that is, but I’m sure they do. Then they cut to get to the number the want.

I doubt that number is half their workforce.
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Post by The Pantry Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:31 pm

Nordic wrote:
The Pantry wrote:
Lot of workforce to offer to let go at one time.  Did Stellantis overstaff?  JMO...my place has been doing the same thing over a year.  The "foreign" investment firm that bought our place hoping to flip it might need to hang on a little longer.

Massive amount. My guess is they only expect a certain % take it. No idea what that is, but I’m sure they do. Then they cut to get to the number the want.

I doubt that number is half their workforce.
Agree, the presented numbers don't make any sense. No idea where Stellantis design work is done now.
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Post by Nordic Mon Nov 13, 2023 11:22 pm

The Pantry wrote:
Nordic wrote:

Massive amount. My guess is they only expect a certain % take it. No idea what that is, but I’m sure they do. Then they cut to get to the number the want.

I doubt that number is half their workforce.
Agree, the presented numbers don't make any sense. No idea where Stellantis design work is done now.

No idea. My partner has always handled Chrysler. Never get a warm fuzzy when I talk to him about it.
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Post by tGreenWay Tue Nov 14, 2023 12:26 am

Nordic wrote:
The Pantry wrote:
Lot of workforce to offer to let go at one time.  Did Stellantis overstaff?  JMO...my place has been doing the same thing over a year.  The "foreign" investment firm that bought our place hoping to flip it might need to hang on a little longer.

Massive amount. My guess is they only expect a certain % take it. No idea what that is, but I’m sure they do. Then they cut to get to the number the want.

I doubt that number is half their workforce.


Yeah, they’ll use percentages from previous buyout offers and their actuarial staff has probably triple- and quadruple-checked their own work.
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:08 am

Nordic wrote:
AvgMSUJoe wrote:Why are they turning these down?

Because they want a job and automotive pays very well. Maybe you’ve worked there for 20+ years. Maybe you have family here and don’t want to move. Maybe you just bought a house or had a kid.

The smart ones will take buyout and start the job hunt now. If they don’t get enough takers (and they won’t), they will start cutting. But there won’t be enough open spots for everyone. Especially at the same pay/level.

I don’t think it is an easy decision to take it, but it is the right decision.
I was actually talking about the UAW strike... GM and Ford workers voted down the agreements so far. That's concerning.
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:52 am

AvgMSUJoe wrote:
Nordic wrote:

Because they want a job and automotive pays very well. Maybe you’ve worked there for 20+ years. Maybe you have family here and don’t want to move. Maybe you just bought a house or had a kid.

The smart ones will take buyout and start the job hunt now. If they don’t get enough takers (and they won’t), they will start cutting. But there won’t be enough open spots for everyone. Especially at the same pay/level.

I don’t think it is an easy decision to take it, but it is the right decision.
I was actually talking about the UAW strike... GM and Ford workers voted down the agreements so far. That's concerning.

I’m not a member of those unions, but I greatly respect them. I do think, and this is my own opinion, sometimes the rank and file are told to vote agreements down to that corporate know we will eventually do this, but I understand we believe we deserve more. That’s just my opinion.
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Post by GRR Spartan Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:27 am


Newer plants require fewer assembly operations combined with just in time supply chain that often uses non-union manufacturing.

While I don't think EV's will dominate as soon as some, almost all vehicles are lasting a lot longer and US drivers are keeping their cars about 12 years.

Stellantis is just getting ahead of the pack. GM and Ford know they are overstaffed and have too many plants and production facilities for markets where a majority of vehicles are being driven over a decade.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:49 am

The Pantry wrote:
Nordic wrote:

Massive amount. My guess is they only expect a certain % take it. No idea what that is, but I’m sure they do. Then they cut to get to the number the want.

I doubt that number is half their workforce.
Agree, the presented numbers don't make any sense. No idea where Stellantis design work is done now.

No idea either. Ford & GM design & development work is global and has been for years.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:51 am

GRR Spartan wrote:
Newer plants require fewer assembly operations combined with just in time supply chain that often uses non-union manufacturing.

While I don't think EV's will dominate as soon as some, almost all vehicles are lasting a lot longer and US drivers are keeping their cars about 12 years.

Stellantis is just getting ahead of the pack. GM and Ford know they are overstaffed and have too many plants and production facilities for markets where a majority of vehicles are being driven over a decade.

Depends on which parts of the staff they are buying out. Engineering for ICE is going to be a dying profession,
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Post by The Pantry Tue Nov 14, 2023 4:16 pm

UAW workers at GM's Spring Hill plant vote against tentative deal
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Post by tGreenWay Tue Nov 14, 2023 5:26 pm

The Pantry wrote:UAW workers at GM's Spring Hill plant vote against tentative deal


They just want their Saturn back.
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Post by The Pantry Tue Nov 14, 2023 6:19 pm

tGreenWay wrote:
The Pantry wrote:UAW workers at GM's Spring Hill plant vote against tentative deal


They just want their Saturn back.
I want Pontiac back.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Nov 14, 2023 6:21 pm

The Pantry wrote:
tGreenWay wrote:


They just want their Saturn back.
I want Pontiac back.

I want Packard back. When will Stellantis get on the ball.
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Post by The Pantry Tue Nov 14, 2023 6:32 pm

Trapper Gus wrote:
The Pantry wrote:I want Pontiac back.

I want Packard back. When will Stellantis get on the ball.
Appears the UAW didn't put Stellantis workers on the same page as Ford & gm.
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Post by Nordic Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:08 pm

GRR Spartan wrote:
Newer plants require fewer assembly operations combined with just in time supply chain that often uses non-union manufacturing.

While I don't think EV's will dominate as soon as some, almost all vehicles are lasting a lot longer and US drivers are keeping their cars about 12 years.

Stellantis is just getting ahead of the pack. GM and Ford know they are overstaffed and have too many plants and production facilities for markets where a majority of vehicles are being driven over a decade.

GM and Ford have been doing this for a while.
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Wed Nov 15, 2023 9:54 am

Lansing plants, split decision on the contracts
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Post by Trapper Gus Wed Nov 15, 2023 10:04 am

Nordic wrote:
GRR Spartan wrote:
Newer plants require fewer assembly operations combined with just in time supply chain that often uses non-union manufacturing.

While I don't think EV's will dominate as soon as some, almost all vehicles are lasting a lot longer and US drivers are keeping their cars about 12 years.

Stellantis is just getting ahead of the pack. GM and Ford know they are overstaffed and have too many plants and production facilities for markets where a majority of vehicles are being driven over a decade.

GM and Ford have been doing this for a while.

GM in particular has been moving its "staff" functions to lower cost locations. They are doing a bunch of Engineering in India. Purchasing was headquartered in China last I knew.
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Post by The Pantry Wed Nov 15, 2023 2:56 pm

Trapper Gus wrote:
Nordic wrote:

GM and Ford have been doing this for a while.

GM in particular has been moving its "staff" functions to lower cost locations. They are doing a bunch of Engineering in India. Purchasing was headquartered in China last I knew.
GM has many purchasing offices around the world. Pretty sure the HQ is still in Detroit/Warren.
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