Re: Could Michigan State win the East this year?

by **Floyd Robertson** 2017-09-30, 21:44

At this point I'm actually begging OSU to figure it's shit out and win it.

by **kingstonlake** 2017-10-07, 23:33

by TheReal_LWS 2017-10-07, 23:37

FTR, I voted yes. But then I'm an unabashed sunshine optimist.

by **Turtleneck** 2017-10-07, 23:39

I still say no. OSU and PSU are the clear leaders. I think UM goes 0-3 against MSU, PSU, and OSU.

by **Other Teams Pursuing That** 2017-10-07, 23:40

Bumped

by **Death Roe** 2017-10-07, 23:48

Bump Herbie style

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-10-07, 23:51

Winner of PSU/OSU takes it. We will hang with both teams and maybe even beat OSU but I think PSU probably beats us by 7-10.

by Guest 2017-10-08, 00:20

I can see 9-1 plus the results of tOSU & PSU.....so 9-3 to 11-1 a damned Dantonio miracle.

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-11-05, 00:14

Someone should bump this thread. All of our goals are in front of us.

by **Other Teams Pursuing That** 2017-11-05, 00:17

I’m sorry wbh you were right.

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-11-05, 00:20

You don't know how I voted OTPT

by **Travis of the Cosmos** 2017-11-05, 00:33

Ridiculous wbh you should be embarrassed of this thread

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-11-05, 00:35

bring me a pretzel travis I'm real hungry.

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-11-05, 00:37

lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

by **Travis of the Cosmos** 2017-11-05, 00:38

What kind of dip do you want? Maybe some mustard maybe some cheese maybe some honey mustard if you’re feeling saucy

by **Travis of the Cosmos** 2017-11-05, 00:38

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

This though fuck the playoff

by **Other Teams Pursuing That** 2017-11-05, 00:40

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

You say that now... and then we win out and we want anyone but bama.

With that being said - every fucking year this shit gets talked about and talked about, chaos usually does ensue and it works itself out pretty nicely. So many games to be played. Who fucking knows it’s college kids out there

by **WhiteBoyHatcher** 2017-11-05, 00:47

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:
WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

You say that now... and then we win out and we want anyone but bama.

With that being said - every fucking year this shit gets talked about and talked about, chaos usually does ensue and it works itself out pretty nicely. So many games to be played. Who fucking knows it’s college kids out there

Nah, I think it's because I understand where we are. We would have no shot against Bama. Hell I don't even want us to make the playoff. I just want the hardware. Fucking crazy unbelievable coaching job this year. I don't even understand.

Next year? I want it all.

by **steveschneider** 2017-11-05, 07:10

I agree fuck the playoffs. I would rather see us have a strong year and win a traditional bowl. Any team in the B10 would absolutely get pulverized by Alabama.

by Guest 2017-11-05, 08:31

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

Exactly, more fodder for the scUM slappies to choke on.

by Guest 2017-11-05, 13:52

David Harns‏ @DavidHarns 37m
For Michigan State to make it to the Big Ten Championship Game, here's what needs to happen:

1. Beat Ohio State
2. Beat Maryland OR Rutgers

by **Other Teams Pursuing That** 2017-11-05, 13:53

WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:
Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:

You say that now... and then we win out and we want anyone but bama.

With that being said - every fucking year this shit gets talked about and talked about, chaos usually does ensue and it works itself out pretty nicely. So many games to be played. Who fucking knows it’s college kids out there

Nah, I think it's because I understand where we are. We would have no shot against Bama. Hell I don't even want us to make the playoff. I just want the hardware. Fucking crazy unbelievable coaching job this year. I don't even understand.

Next year? I want it all.

Next year msu would still get skullfucked by bama - same deal.

by **InTenSity** 2017-11-05, 15:37

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:This is an embarasssing thread and you know it wbh. Spin it about fleck all you want

Could Michigan State win the East this year? - Page 2 502811600

by Guest 2017-11-06, 09:25

From MGoBlow and Reddit....

Rutgers can still win the east
Over on r/CFB someone determined that it is still technically possible for Rutgers to win the. Given the utter remoteness of this I thought I would share it to provide for your Sunday evening entertainment.

Rutgers > PSU
Rutgers > Indiana
Rutgers > MSU
Maryland> MSU
MSU > OSU
Wisconsin > Michigan
Maryland > Michigan
Michigan > OSU
Illinis > OSU

by **Death Roe** 2017-11-06, 09:30

LooseGoose wrote:David Harns‏ @DavidHarns 37m
For Michigan State to make it to the Big Ten Championship Game, here's what needs to happen:

1. Beat Ohio State
2. Beat Maryland OR Rutgers

Yeah that's insane. Beat OSU and it essentially clinches the division. 9-3 with an OSU win gets MSU into the B1G title game. Insane.

by SawGreen 2017-11-06, 13:28

Can I change my vote?

by **Robert J Sakimano** 2017-11-06, 13:31

LooseGoose wrote:From MGoBlow and Reddit....

Rutgers can still win the east
Over on r/CFB someone determined that it is still technically possible for Rutgers to win the. Given the utter remoteness of this I thought I would share it to provide for your Sunday evening entertainment.

Rutgers > PSU
Rutgers > Indiana
Rutgers > MSU
Maryland> MSU
MSU > OSU
Wisconsin > Michigan
Maryland > Michigan
Michigan > OSU
Illinis > OSU

no way Illinois beats Ohio State.

by **SeeRockCity** 2017-11-06, 14:48

Glad I waited until now to vote.

by **Robert J Sakimano** 2017-11-06, 14:49

I'm gonna go with "yes".

yes they could.

by **Other Teams Pursuing That** 2017-11-06, 15:37

Can i change my vote

by **Jake from State Farm** 2017-11-06, 18:01

LooseGoose wrote:
WhiteBoyHatcher wrote:lol @ these talking heads. I could give a fuck less if the b1g makes the playoffs. If we win the East it would be fucking orgasmic. Win the title game and it would be Wags jerking off kingston level orgasmic

Exactly, more fodder for the scUM slappies to choke on.

Their best game so far this year is OSU vs Iowa.

by **Watch Out Pylon!** 2017-11-07, 00:51

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:What the fuck? Shit no.

Dumbass.

by **kingstonlake** 2017-11-07, 01:43

Part of me wants to see MSU go to the big ten championship game at 8-3. It'll piss off scummers so bad that a 3 loss east division team went to the championship game and they STILL weren't good enough to make it.

by Guest 2017-11-08, 13:04

Stolen from MGoBlow.

First, since TaiStreetsMyHero posted two weeks ago, everything has gone right for Michigan.

We needed (and got) all of the following events*:

MSU lost to NW (41%)

MSU beat PSU (16%)

PSU lost to OSU(44%)

OSU lost to Iowa(20%)

UM beat Rutgers (95%) and Minnesota (87%)

In addition to all of those games going our way, they have also greatly increased the probability that PSU loses to Rutgers, Nebraska, or Maryland (used to be 1, 3, 4% is now 13, 14, and 18%)

Similarly, Rutgers/Maryland's win probabilities have increased against MSU.

Finally, Michigan's probability of beating Wisconsin and Ohio State have increased as well due to our rise in S&P.

*-All the numbers here are from Bill Connelly's predictions

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Now for the big reveal. I programmed in tiebreakers for UM/MSU/OSU/PSU. I did not add in tiebreaker scenarios for Rutgers (who is still not mathematically eliminated). For fun, I wrote up my code just before leaving work last night and ran simulations as I left so I could run a ridiculous number. So, after 50,000,000 simulations, these are the results:

B1G East champ:

Div Champs (out of 50,000,000) %
OSU 38,662,569 77.33
MSU 10,624908 21.25
UM 468,785 0.94
PSU 236,486 0.47
You may note that only 49,992,748 division champs have been accounted for in this simulation, which basically means that there is a 0.01% chance that Rutgers is involved in a tiebreaker, which of course implies there is an even smaller chance that Rutgers wins the B1G East.

by **tGreenWay** 2017-11-08, 16:26

SeeRockCity wrote:Glad I waited until now to vote.

You're such a Johnny come lately. You're the new kid in town. Everybody loves you, so don't let them down.

by **DWags** 2017-11-08, 17:19

LooseGoose wrote:Stolen from MGoBlow.

First, since TaiStreetsMyHero posted two weeks ago, everything has gone right for Michigan.

We needed (and got) all of the following events*:

MSU lost to NW (41%)

MSU beat PSU (16%)

PSU lost to OSU(44%)

OSU lost to Iowa(20%)

UM beat Rutgers (95%) and Minnesota (87%)

In addition to all of those games going our way, they have also greatly increased the probability that PSU loses to Rutgers, Nebraska, or Maryland (used to be 1, 3, 4% is now 13, 14, and 18%)

Similarly, Rutgers/Maryland's win probabilities have increased against MSU.

Finally, Michigan's probability of beating Wisconsin and Ohio State have increased as well due to our rise in S&P.

*-All the numbers here are from Bill Connelly's predictions

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Now for the big reveal. I programmed in tiebreakers for UM/MSU/OSU/PSU. I did not add in tiebreaker scenarios for Rutgers (who is still not mathematically eliminated). For fun, I wrote up my code just before leaving work last night and ran simulations as I left so I could run a ridiculous number. So, after 50,000,000 simulations, these are the results:

B1G East champ:

Div Champs (out of 50,000,000) %
OSU 38,662,569 77.33
MSU 10,624908 21.25
UM 468,785 0.94
PSU 236,486 0.47
You may note that only 49,992,748 division champs have been accounted for in this simulation, which basically means that there is a 0.01% chance that Rutgers is involved in a tiebreaker, which of course implies there is an even smaller chance that Rutgers wins the B1G East.

Look, I don’t know who did these numbers but it’s pretty damn impressive. No mater how pathetic it is.

by **Floyd Robertson** 2017-11-08, 17:20

LooseGoose wrote:Stolen from MGoBlow.

First, since TaiStreetsMyHero posted two weeks ago, everything has gone right for Michigan.

We needed (and got) all of the following events*:

MSU lost to NW (41%)

MSU beat PSU (16%)

PSU lost to OSU(44%)

OSU lost to Iowa(20%)

UM beat Rutgers (95%) and Minnesota (87%)

In addition to all of those games going our way, they have also greatly increased the probability that PSU loses to Rutgers, Nebraska, or Maryland (used to be 1, 3, 4% is now 13, 14, and 18%)

Similarly, Rutgers/Maryland's win probabilities have increased against MSU.

Finally, Michigan's probability of beating Wisconsin and Ohio State have increased as well due to our rise in S&P.

*-All the numbers here are from Bill Connelly's predictions

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Now for the big reveal. I programmed in tiebreakers for UM/MSU/OSU/PSU. I did not add in tiebreaker scenarios for Rutgers (who is still not mathematically eliminated). For fun, I wrote up my code just before leaving work last night and ran simulations as I left so I could run a ridiculous number. So, after 50,000,000 simulations, these are the results:

B1G East champ:

Div Champs (out of 50,000,000) %
OSU 38,662,569 77.33
MSU 10,624908 21.25
UM 468,785 0.94
PSU 236,486 0.47
You may note that only 49,992,748 division champs have been accounted for in this simulation, which basically means that there is a 0.01% chance that Rutgers is involved in a tiebreaker, which of course implies there is an even smaller chance that Rutgers wins the B1G East.

Seriously, MSU beating PSU improves Rutgers' chance of beating PSU?

It's a good thing I'm not a gambler. I stand no chance of ever making money.

by **Watch Out Pylon!** 2017-11-08, 20:50

DWags wrote:
LooseGoose wrote:Stolen from MGoBlow.

Look, I don’t know who did these numbers but it’s pretty damn impressive. No mater how pathetic it is.

Could Michigan State win the East this year? - Page 2 Nerds1

Some scUM statistics nerd.

by Guest 2017-11-13, 09:05

How MSU, Michigan can still win Big Ten East

by TheReal_LWS 2017-11-13, 09:07

Michigan State (7-3, 5-2) – The Spartans’ path is also straight-forward, just not as likely. They’ll need to beat both Maryland and Rutgers – that’s the easy part – but they’d need Ohio State to lose to both Illinois and Michigan.

Yeah, neither of those last two is happening. OSU is going to destroy scum.

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Could we?