Ebola......

Time to cancel all flights coming from Africa.

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Wait... pardon my ignorance, I haven't been paying attention to this nonsense... but isn't ebola only a couple week percolating time and it's only catchy when you are full fledged sick? Seems totally different then AIDS to me.

Also, remember the hype and fear (vs facts) around AIDS when that hit the mainstream... do you see any correlation?

one person on US soil has died from it.. so.. I'm no mathematician.. but that is approximately 0.000000000316 of the population of the United States.

so, yes, now would be a good time to listen to the mainstream media and panic like you've never panicked before.

OK, serious question(s) here...

If this dude in Dallas left the hospital, sick as fuck, and came back two days later and only THEN infected a nurse who was allegedly dressed head to toe in full hazmat gear, how many people on the outside are going to come down with this shit in the next couple days? Is it even possible that he did NOT infect someone else if he was sicker as shit as advertised when he left he hospital for 48 hours, given that we are told that victims are contagious when showing symptoms of ebola?

He went to the hospital first on 9/25. The incubation of this particular strain is something like 21 days, give or take.... By Thursday this week (10/16/14), I would expect that at least another case or three will pop up, again, give or take a couple days depending upon the actual incubation period....

tTy wrote:OK, serious question(s) here...

If this dude in Dallas left the hospital, sick as fuck, and came back two days later and only THEN infected a nurse who was allegedly dressed head to toe in full hazmat gear, how many people on the outside are going to come down with this shit in the next couple days? Is it even possible that he did NOT infect someone else if he was sicker as shit as advertised when he left he hospital for 48 hours, given that we are told that victims are contagious when showing symptoms of ebola?

He went to the hospital first on 9/25. The incubation of this particular strain is something like 21 days, give or take.... By Thursday this week (10/16/14), I would expect that at least another case or three will pop up, again, give or take a couple days depending upon the actual incubation period....

Assuming the people even report it, rather than just die at home.

tTy wrote:OK, serious question(s) here...

If this dude in Dallas left the hospital, sick as fuck, and came back two days later and only THEN infected a nurse who was allegedly dressed head to toe in full hazmat gear, how many people on the outside are going to come down with this shit in the next couple days? Is it even possible that he did NOT infect someone else if he was sicker as shit as advertised when he left he hospital for 48 hours, given that we are told that victims are contagious when showing symptoms of ebola?

He went to the hospital first on 9/25. The incubation of this particular strain is something like 21 days, give or take.... By Thursday this week (10/16/14), I would expect that at least another case or three will pop up, again, give or take a couple days depending upon the actual incubation period....

I did the conservative math on this thing earlier - that post was only representing a growth of 2 transmissions per infected carrier.....and yet the results are startling.

Another follow up.

Can we be 100% sure that this nurse was infected by Duncan on his second visit, especially given that they don't even know HOW she was infected? Also, how could she be exhibiting symptoms a week earlier than the reported 21 day + or - incubation period could possibly allow? Are we 100% sure that she was not infected on his initial visit somehow? Are we 100% sure she was definitely infected during his second visit and directly from Duncan himself?

There are a lot of unanswered questions here.... If there was in fact a "breach in protocol", what exactly was that breach? Or is the CDC just throwing bullshit at the wall until something sticks?

The truth probably is more likely that none of them know any of the answers to these questions as 100% fact.

InTenSity wrote:

If you are worried about Ebola, I suggest you watch the movie "Contagion" and that will spike your fears

Wally Fairway wrote:
I did the conservative math on this thing earlier - that post was only representing a growth of 2 transmissions per infected carrier.....and yet the results are startling.

The Rule of Kevin Bacon ain't no bullshit.

so is it safe for me to walk home? or should I just sleep at work tonight?

Robert J Sakimano wrote:so is it safe for me to walk home? or should I just sleep at work tonight?

It's only safe to travel by bike...

tTy wrote:OK, serious question(s) here...

If this dude in Dallas left the hospital, sick as fuck, and came back two days later and only THEN infected a nurse who was allegedly dressed head to toe in full hazmat gear, how many people on the outside are going to come down with this shit in the next couple days? Is it even possible that he did NOT infect someone else if he was sicker as shit as advertised when he left he hospital for 48 hours, given that we are told that victims are contagious when showing symptoms of ebola?

He went to the hospital first on 9/25. The incubation of this particular strain is something like 21 days, give or take.... By Thursday this week (10/16/14), I would expect that at least another case or three will pop up, again, give or take a couple days depending upon the actual incubation period....

c'mon man. I was told there wasn't gonna be any math over here on this new site.

goodbar wrote:

c'mon man. I was told there wasn't gonna be any math over here on this new site.

At least this place knows how to keep posts in order, and actually make all the posts visible after you hit 'send'.

tTy wrote:Also, how could she be exhibiting symptoms a week earlier than the reported 21 day + or - incubation period could possibly allow?

"The average time between contracting the infection and the start of symptoms (incubation period) is 8 to 10 days, but it can vary between 2 and 21 days." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_disease

Nordic wrote:

"The average time between contracting the infection and the start of symptoms (incubation period) is 8 to 10 days, but it can vary between 2 and 21 days." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_disease

Looks like I was mistaken. The mean incubation period in the current outbreak is 11.4 days.

What are Nordy Stayin' Alive Tips 1-47, dammit?

tTy wrote:

Looks like I was mistaken. The mean incubation period in the current outbreak is 11.4 days.

What are Nordy Stayin' Alive Tips 1-47, dammit?

tTy wrote:

Looks like I was mistaken. The mean incubation period in the current outbreak is 11.4 days.

What are Nordy Stayin' Alive Tips 1-47, dammit?

Making a Costco run and stocking up on beer, bourbon and water this weekend. Not a survival tip, but it is in my "in case shit does down" manual.

Double quote

Nordic wrote:Double quote

lmfao

I'm headed to the U.P. Who's in?

Nordic wrote:

"The average time between contracting the infection and the start of symptoms (incubation period) is 8 to 10 days, but it can vary between 2 and 21 days." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_disease

So are you saying that my earlier example of growth was not at all conservative?

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Ebola nurse is HAWT!!!!!

Robert J Sakimano wrote:I just sneezed. Should I..

a) worry
b) call the mainstream media for an interview
c) go to the hospital
d) sequester myself until Fox News, MSNBC and CNN can get their medical experts involved..
e) make sure my life insurance premium is paid

f) http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/13/canada-testing-ebola-vaccine-humans-in-the-us

tTy wrote:Ebola nurse is HAWT!!!!!

103 hot

I'm sorry to hear what's going on with the Liberians.. but, that's what they get for spending so much time around books.

Sincerely,

Sarah Palin

Oh, BTW...

http://time.com/3501744/ebola-vaccine-nih/

We coulda had a cure by now if the capital gains, inheritance, top tax rates weren't slashed by w. So the right wingers engulfed in fear only have themselves to blame....(ish)

Also, vaccinate your kids dummies

The Associated Press ‏@AP 31m31 minutes ago

BREAKING: WHO says there could be up to 10,000 new cases of Ebola per week in 2 months.

tTy wrote:Ebola nurse is HAWT!!!!!

phuck yes!

Toe wrote:

phuck yes!

But is she hot enough to risk your life over?

tTy wrote:The Associated Press ‏@AP 31m31 minutes ago

BREAKING: WHO says there could be up to 10,000 new cases of Ebola per week in 2 months.

god, I hope so.

sincerely,

mainstream media and those easily manipulated by them

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Oh, BTW...

http://time.com/3501744/ebola-vaccine-nih/

We coulda had a cure by now if the capital gains, inheritance, top tax rates weren't slashed by w. So the right wingers engulfed in fear only have themselves to blame....(ish)

Also, vaccinate your kids dummies

lord

tTy wrote:Ebola nurse is HAWT!!!!!

if anyone wants to adopt a dog, I'd suggest that you reconsider adopting this one..

however, my wife's dog is still available. PM for details.

How does the cdc director still have a job? Just another textbook case of inept government at its finest. IRS, State Dept...now the CDC. Just never ends lol.

Jake from State Farm wrote:

But is she hot enough to risk your life over?

on her

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Oh, BTW...

http://time.com/3501744/ebola-vaccine-nih/

We coulda had a cure by now if the capital gains, inheritance, top tax rates weren't slashed by w. So the right wingers engulfed in fear only have themselves to blame....(ish)

Also, vaccinate your kids dummies

Yeah, well Ebola wasn't really a problem .... that is until it left Africa and came here.

Sincerely,
Closed minded isolationists (looking at you Bee)

Why do you ****ing dicks have to make everything political? Can't we just stick to the subject at hand?

US Ebola deaths, O/U 1000.5

Tally:
1 currently dead
1 working on being dead
X,XXX potential future infections still to be determined

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Wait... pardon my ignorance, I haven't been paying attention to this nonsense... but isn't ebola only a couple week percolating time and it's only catchy when you are full fledged sick? Seems totally different then AIDS to me.

Also, remember the hype and fear (vs facts) around AIDS when that hit the mainstream... do you see any correlation?

We are totally gonna look back on this ebola thing and just laugh. I mean, at least here in America we will. Africans prolly won't.

goodbar wrote:

We are totally gonna look back on this ebola thing and just laugh. I mean, at least here in America we will. Africans prolly won't.

I swear, we had this freakout before... Weren't we all going to die from ebloa in the early 90's? Maybe late 80's...

AvgMSUJoe wrote:

I swear, we had this freakout before... Weren't we all going to die from ebloa in the early 90's? Maybe late 80's...

that was SARS, or bird flu or swine flu or....

Jake from State Farm wrote:

that was SARS, or bird flu or swine flu or....

I think it was gluten. or something.

AvgMSUJoe wrote:

I swear, we had this freakout before... Weren't we all going to die from ebloa in the early 90's? Maybe late 80's...

There was an near outbreak in Virginia I think... bunch of infected monkeys and they were ascart that it was airborne at the time because monkey's in a different room somehow were infected too, I believe. I could be wrong on some of this.... They ended up nuking like 400 of em and one of them almost escaped.

I'd google it, but you are very likely capable of doing that for yourself.