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CFB Playoff rankings

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Post by Herbie Green Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:01 pm

NigelUno wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:Lol, lots of chatter about an undefeated Wisconsin not making it.  Will Nigel be offering 100-1 with Death Roe and Dwags lips attached to his nuts?



Remember that one time you thought we wouldn't make it?  

No
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Post by Herbie Green Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:13 pm

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-college-football-predictions/

Here you go.  Nate's model gives UW a 95% chance of making it if they go undefeated.  I won't even get into what that means in relation to a 100-1 bet.  But I find it more interesting relative to Notre Dame who has just a 66% chance of making it if they win out.  
Does anyone really believe That?  ND, ranked #3 could fall out of the top 4 if they win out?
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:24 pm

Herbie Green wrote:Lol, lots of chatter about an undefeated Wisconsin not making it.  Will Nigel be offering 100-1 with Death Roe and Dwags lips attached to his nuts?

Herbie, I’m not going to go back and forth with you cause I’m tired. I like you cause you aren’t afraid of being dumb. And that’s cool.

You’re actually saying that Wisconsin’s 2017 back end schedule is like ours was in 2015, including giving Wisconsin the chance to play two undefeated top five teams.

Also, I noticed Dantonio called many plays PSU wasn’t thinking of. You were money on that.
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Post by Guest Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:29 pm

DWags wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:Lol, lots of chatter about an undefeated Wisconsin not making it.  Will Nigel be offering 100-1 with Death Roe and Dwags lips attached to his nuts?

Herbie, I’m not going to go back and forth with you cause I’m tired. I like you cause you aren’t afraid of being dumb. And that’s cool.

You’re actually saying that Wisconsin’s 2017 back end schedule is like ours was in 2015, including giving Wisconsin the chance to play two undefeated top five teams.

Also, I noticed Dantonio called many plays PSU wasn’t thinking of. You were money on that.

When Herbie speaks it's usually $$.
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Post by Dr. Strangelove Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:32 pm

Undefeated P5 (and ND) teams get into the CFP. No ifs ands or buts. One loss Champs of the P12, SEC and B1G also get invited.

The rest is just arguing over position. The only way it gets hairy is all P5 Champs are undefeated. I think the most we've ever had is three P5 undefeated Champs in one season.
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Post by Herbie Green Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:34 pm

Wisconsin has Iowa, UM and OSU/MSU.  They will more than likely make it if they run that.  Nate says 95%.  I think it is lower.  
Lol, it is the hottest topic on this ESPN playoff show.  Pathetic we can't even have a discussion at even ESPN talking head level.
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:38 pm

Herbie Green wrote:Pathetic we can't even have a discussion at even ESPN talking head level.

I’m sorry did you start this out by saying my lips would be attached to Nigel’s nuts? I might be wrong. If I’m not you’re just dumb
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Post by Herbie Green Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:48 pm

DWags wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:Pathetic we can't even have a discussion at even ESPN talking head level.

I’m sorry did you start this out by saying my lips would be attached to Nigel’s nuts?  I might be wrong. If I’m not you’re just dumb

Maybe if you get them surgically removed we can have a discussion
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Post by Herbie Green Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:56 pm

gHost Spartan wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:Lol, lots of chatter about an undefeated Wisconsin not making it.  Will Nigel be offering 100-1 with Death Roe and Dwags lips attached to his nuts?
There is no way an undefeated Wisconsin team misses the playoffs.

What if Notre Dame, Clemson, Bama, and Oklahoma win out and Georgia is 12-1?
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:57 pm

Herbie Green wrote:
gHost Spartan wrote:
There is no way an undefeated Wisconsin team misses the playoffs.

What if Notre Dame, Clemson, Bama, and Oklahoma win out and Georgia is 12-1?

Would be fun.
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:01 pm

Herbie Green wrote:
DWags wrote:

I’m sorry did you start this out by saying my lips would be attached to Nigel’s nuts?  I might be wrong. If I’m not you’re just dumb

Maybe if you get them surgically removed we can have a discussion

Herbie, you start this and complain about the level of conversation. Even a mad man would be able to see the irony, but maybe not. You have to understand why some might think you’re kind of dumb. Not because you seek to call me names, that’s cool, and makes the board more fun, but you really don’t see the irony.
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Post by Dr. Strangelove Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:04 pm

Herbie Green wrote:

What if Notre Dame, Clemson, Bama, and Oklahoma win out and Georgia is 12-1?
1. Bama
2. ND
3. Wisconsin
4. Clemson

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Post by Death Roe Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:35 pm

Herbie why are you so hostile, honey?
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:58 pm

Herbie Green wrote:
gHost Spartan wrote:
There is no way an undefeated Wisconsin team misses the playoffs.

What if Notre Dame, Clemson, Bama, and Oklahoma win out and Georgia is 12-1?

What are the odds of all that happening?
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Post by Other Teams Pursuing That Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:58 pm

Playoff talk is riveting.
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 07, 2017 10:00 pm

Dr. Strangelove wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:

What if Notre Dame, Clemson, Bama, and Oklahoma win out and Georgia is 12-1?
1. Bama
2. ND
3. Wisconsin
4. Clemson


Georgia beat ND though.
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 07, 2017 10:00 pm

Other Teams Pursuing That wrote:Playoff talk is riveting.

Dude!

We are ranked #12!
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Post by Dr. Strangelove Tue Nov 07, 2017 10:59 pm

NigelUno wrote:
Dr. Strangelove wrote:
1. Bama
2. ND
3. Wisconsin
4. Clemson


Georgia beat ND though.  

It's not who you lose to - it's when you lose.

Hell Wisconsin could lose this weekend and run the table and still get in.

It's about asses in the seats and eyes on the tube and there will always be a seat at the table for a one loss B1G champ


Just like if there is a way to jam ND into the picture they will
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 07, 2017 11:22 pm

Dr. Strangelove wrote:
NigelUno wrote:

Georgia beat ND though.  

It's not who you lose to - it's when you lose.

Hell Wisconsin could lose this weekend and run the table and still get in.

It's about asses in the seats and eyes on the tube and there will always be a seat at the table for a one loss B1G champ


Just like if there is a way to jam ND into the picture they will

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Post by Dendrobates Wed Nov 08, 2017 9:29 am

I know this has already been talked about, but fuck ND. They should never be in the CP until they join a conference. I don't care if it's a year they're undefeated. Everyone else has to play an extra game . Fuck them.
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Post by Floyd Robertson Wed Nov 08, 2017 9:31 am

Dendrobates wrote:I know this has already been talked about, but fuck ND. They should never be in the CP until they join a conference. I don't care if it's a year they're undefeated. Everyone else has to play an extra game . Fuck them.

I CFB Playoff rankings - Page 3 1f60d you.
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Post by NigelUno Sat Nov 11, 2017 7:20 pm

Herbie Green wrote:Wisconsin has Iowa, UM and OSU/MSU.  They will more than likely make it if they run that.  Nate says 95%.  I think it is lower.  
Lol, it is the hottest topic on this ESPN playoff show.  Pathetic we can't even have a discussion at even ESPN talking head level.

Give me a %.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 8:39 pm

Predictions? I'm going with:

1. Bama
2. Oklahoma
3. Miami
4. Clemson
5. Wisconsin
6. Auburn
7. Georgia
8. Ohio State
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Post by Death Roe Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:05 pm

Miami should be 2
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:26 pm

Death Roe wrote:Miami should be 2
I don't disagree, but I went with what I thought the committee will do.

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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:31 pm

Kinda thought we'd be closer to 20-21.
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Post by DWags Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:32 pm

Wow. We have a shot at a NY6. Holy shit.
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:32 pm

Dang. I'll take 17 at this point.
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Post by Tim Wakefield Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:33 pm

Wow
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Post by NigelUno Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:34 pm

When I saw the bottom 5, I thought they dropped us out of it.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:39 pm

Robert J Sakimano wrote:Predictions? I'm going with:

1. Bama
2. Oklahoma
3. Miami
4. Clemson
5. Wisconsin
6. Auburn
7. Georgia
8. Ohio State
I was pretty close. Biggest surprise for me is them having Clemson at #2.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:40 pm

NigelUno wrote:When I saw the bottom 5, I thought they dropped us out of it.
same. Hence my previous comment.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:47 pm

That guy looks like someone named "Kirby Hocutt".
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Post by Herbie Green Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:23 pm

The Georgia and ND losses really made this a lot less interesting. I guess now the only interesting angles are if OSU can weasel their way in for a 3rd time, and if Oklahoma and the Big 12 actually end up screwing themselves out of a playoff spot by adding this unnecessary championship game.
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Post by NigelUno Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:40 pm

Herbie Green wrote:The Georgia and ND losses really made this a lot less interesting.  I guess now the only interesting angles are if OSU can weasel their way in for a 3rd time, and if Oklahoma and the Big 12 actually end up screwing themselves out of a playoff spot by adding this unnecessary championship game.

HERBIE!!!

Want to bet if Wisconsin gets in if they go undefeated?
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Post by Herbie Green Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:49 pm

NigelUno wrote:
Herbie Green wrote:The Georgia and ND losses really made this a lot less interesting.  I guess now the only interesting angles are if OSU can weasel their way in for a 3rd time, and if Oklahoma and the Big 12 actually end up screwing themselves out of a playoff spot by adding this unnecessary championship game.

HERBIE!!!

Want to bet if Wisconsin gets in if they go undefeated?

No. I think I would have gladly taken 100-1 if ND beat Miami. I am sorry if you are incapable of understanding that.
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Post by steveschneider Wed Nov 15, 2017 10:53 pm

I have to say that Kirk Herbstreit ranking stuff during the ball game was a complete embarrassment. Seriously who gives a fuck about this shit? Every time they showed that room with the ranking committee I was like who the fuck are these assholes? Not a single person in there looked like they ever played a season of football in their lives. It was all a bunch of nerds.

Is Condoleeza Rice still on this ranking committee? I thought I saw a black woman in that room but the camera wasn't on her long enough.
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Post by Turtleneck Wed Nov 15, 2017 11:05 pm

MSU football sucks. At least the Little Ceasars Bowl is easy to get to.
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Post by NigelUno Thu Nov 16, 2017 7:30 am

steveschneider wrote:I have to say that Kirk Herbstreit ranking stuff during the ball game was a complete embarrassment. Seriously who gives a fuck about this shit? Every time they showed that room with the ranking committee I was like who the fuck are these assholes? Not a single person in there looked like they ever played a season of football in their lives. It was all a bunch of nerds.

Is Condoleeza Rice still on this ranking committee? I thought I saw a black woman in that room but the camera wasn't on her long enough.

Condy is out. Maybe you caught a glimpse of Ty Willingham.

http://www.collegefootballplayoff.com/sports/2017/10/16/selection-committee.aspx
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Post by NigelUno Thu Nov 16, 2017 7:33 am

Herbie Green wrote:
NigelUno wrote:

HERBIE!!!

Want to bet if Wisconsin gets in if they go undefeated?

No. I think I would have gladly taken 100-1 if ND beat Miami. I am sorry if you are incapable of understanding that.

So, you think Wisconsin is a lock if they go undefeated.

Thanks.
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