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Post by Trapper Gus Sat Dec 03, 2022 11:58 am

Expect the Fed to raise rates another 0.75% this month. The Fed will keep beating the consumers over the head until the Banks are hauling in the big bucks.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:07 pm

great news for Americans heading into the holidays.

WASHINGTON (AP) — Inflation in the United States slowed again last month in the latest sign that price increases are cooling despite the pressures they continue to inflict on American households.  

I would hope that even America-hating republicans and mainstream media would welcome this as good news.

Caution: Mainstream Media Link
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:14 pm

Robert J Sakimano wrote:great news for Americans heading into the holidays.

WASHINGTON (AP) — Inflation in the United States slowed again last month in the latest sign that price increases are cooling despite the pressures they continue to inflict on American households.  

I would hope that even America-hating republicans and mainstream media would welcome this as good news.

Caution: Mainstream Media Link

You know they are going to credit the Republican's winning the US House, because they are that stupid.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:19 pm

Schwab Market Update wrote:U.S. stocks are soaring following the release of the Consumer Price Index

At 10:51 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is increasing 0.6%, the S&P 500 Index is climbing 1.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite is soaring 2.1%. WTI crude oil is rising $1.68 to $74.85 per barrel, and Brent crude oil is gaining $2.35 at $80.34 per barrel. The gold spot price is trading $32.80 higher to $1,825.10 per ounce, and the Dollar Index is down 1.2% to 103.95.

https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/schwab-market-update
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Post by GRR Spartan Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:24 pm

There are a few people in this world who control the price of oil and none come from democracies.

However the same low information voters who are manipulated by GOP pols about gas prices are the same ones howling about record inflation that’s 50% lower than in 1980 and cry about the deficits that have their biggest creases with the GOP in The White House.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:30 pm

GRR Spartan wrote:There are a few people in this world who control the price of oil and none come from democracies.

However the same low information voters who are manipulated by GOP pols about gas prices are the same ones howling about record inflation that’s 50% lower than in 1980 and cry about the deficits that have their biggest creases with the GOP in The White House.

Those people who set the supply of oil also control it's price by the purchase of futures for oil, it is a very cheap way from them to jack the price up.
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:55 am

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance.

The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) declined by 146,000to 1.1 million in December. This measure is down from 2.0 million a year earlier. The long-term unemployed accounted for 18.5 percent of all unemployed persons. (See table A-12.)

The employment-population ratio increased by 0.2 percentage point over the month to 60.1 percent. The labor force participation rate was little changed at 62.3 percent. Both measures have shown little net change since early 2022. These measures are each 1.0 percentage point below their values in February 2020, prior to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. (See table A-1.)


In December, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 9 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $32.82. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.6 percent. In December, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees rose by 6 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $28.07. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls declined by 0.1 hour to 34.3 hours in December. In manufacturing, the average workweek for all employees was little changed at 40.1 hours, and overtime declined by 0.2 hour to 2.9 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.1 hour to 33.8 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 21,000, from +284,000 to +263,000, and the change for November was revised down by 7,000, from +263,000 to +256,000. With these revisions, employment gains in October and November combined were 28,000 lower than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)


https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Jan 12, 2023 12:01 pm

In 2019, just before the pandemic, 57 percent of Americans in their early 60s were still working, compared with 46 percent of that age group two decades earlier.

The pandemic, which made in-person interactions particularly dangerous for older workers, accelerated their departure from the work force. Among Americans ages 55 to 64 — the oldest members of Generation X and the youngest boomers — the share of people who are working or seeking jobs has rebounded to its prepandemic level. But for those 65 and up, that rate remains depressed.


 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 Screen81

So once again the baby boomers are being blamed for what is wrong with the economy, even though they did the opposite of what prior generations did and kept working at older ages.

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Post by Robert J Sakimano Fri Jan 27, 2023 10:47 am

The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter.

“The economy continued to motor on,” said Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist for Bank of America. “There’s more momentum in the economy at year-end than we thought, and a lot of that is from households.”

I'm sure America First patriots will celebrate good news for America. Right?

Caution: Mainstream Media Link

bump.
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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Feb 02, 2023 10:30 am

Schwab Market Update wrote:The ADP Employment Change Report showed private sector payrolls rose by 106,000 jobs in January, below the Bloomberg forecast calling for a 180,000 gain, while the prior month's figure was upwardly revised to a 253,000 increase. The report, which does not include government hiring and firing, comes ahead of Friday's broader January nonfarm payroll release, expected to show headline and private sector job growth both rose by 190,000. The unemployment rate is forecasted to tick higher to 3.6% from 3.5% and average hourly earnings are projected to rise 0.3% month-over-month (m/m) and be up 4.3% y/y.

https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/schwab-market-update

edit - bump


Last edited by Trapper Gus on Fri Feb 03, 2023 10:52 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Feb 03, 2023 10:37 am

BLS wrote:Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Employment also increased in government, partially reflecting the return of workers from a strike.

BLS wrote:The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised up by 34,000, from +256,000 to +290,000, and the change for December was revised up by 37,000, from +223,000 to +260,000. With these revisions, employment gains in November and December combined were 71,000 higher than previously reported.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Job's report blows Wall Street estimates out of the water, two and one half time the estimated job increase and a 0.1% drop on the UE instead of a 0.1% increase.

 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 969504605

edit - bump
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Post by DWags Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:45 am

Trapper Gus wrote:
BLS wrote:Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Employment also increased in government, partially reflecting the return of workers from a strike.

BLS wrote:The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised up by 34,000, from +256,000 to +290,000, and the change for December was revised up by 37,000, from +223,000 to +260,000. With these revisions, employment gains in November and December combined were 71,000 higher than previously reported.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Job's report blows Wall Street estimates out of the water, two and one half time the estimated job increase and a 0.1% drop on the UE instead of a 0.1% increase.

 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 969504605

edit - bump

Wow. That’s crazy.
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Feb 03, 2023 12:41 pm

DWags wrote:
Trapper Gus wrote:



https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Job's report blows Wall Street estimates out of the water, two and one half time the estimated job increase and a 0.1% drop on the UE instead of a 0.1% increase.

 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 969504605

edit - bump

Wow. That’s crazy.  

Haven't looked at the stock market since it opened, but my guess is that it is dropping like a rock.

edit - missed this and it is important...

AP wrote:The labor force participation rate increased to 62.4% from December's unrevised 62.3% figure, where it was expected to remain.

edit2 - The UE at 3.4% is at a 50 year low.

Oh, and bump

edit2 - A Day Late a Dollar Short

Just to point out that the Jobs Numbers are a calculated number, and the calculations are adjusted yearly, which impacts January of each year.
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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Mar 02, 2023 11:26 am

AP wrote:Applications for jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending February 25 fell to 190,000 from 192,000 the previous week, the Labor Department said Thursday. It’s the seventh straight week claims were under 200,000.

The four-week moving average of claims, which evens out some of the weekly volatility, rose by 1,750 to 193,000, remaining below the 200,000 threshold for the sixth straight week.

bump!
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Post by Trapper Gus Wed Mar 08, 2023 2:27 pm

The ADP Employment Change Report showed private sector payrolls rose by 242,000 jobs in February, above the Bloomberg forecast calling for a 200,000 gain, while the prior month's figure was upwardly revised to a 119,000 increase.

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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Mar 10, 2023 10:37 am

tBLS wrote:Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 311,000 in February, and the unemployment rate edged up to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, retail trade, government, and health care. Employment declined in information and in transportation and warehousing.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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Post by Robert J Sakimano Tue Mar 21, 2023 11:48 am


Washington, DC CNN  —

The median price of a US home was lower this February than it was in February 2022, ending more than a decade of year-over-year increases, the longest on record, according to a National Association of Realtors report released Tuesday.  

Caution: Mainstream Media Link

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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Mar 30, 2023 9:29 pm

Any guesses on how the market reacts to the Trump indictment?

My guess is it goes up.
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Post by Motown Spartan Thu Mar 30, 2023 9:55 pm

Trapper Gus wrote:Any guesses on how the market reacts to the Trump indictment?

My guess is it goes up.

Futures are up slightly right now. I’ll add, the markets have been up almost every day since the rumor broke that he was going to be indicted last Tuesday.
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Fri Mar 31, 2023 10:14 am

Not sure why this news would affect it. (I suppose if convicted, it takes the spazzy uncertainty out of the future... as far as US politics goes) Seems like that wouldn't hit the market for a while. We still have a trial and other bullshit to slog through.
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Post by Trapper Gus Mon Apr 03, 2023 10:41 am

Stocks ended a volatile quarter solidly in the green, thanks to a healthy rally among tech companies.

The S&P 500 rose 7% during the quarter, and the Nasdaq composite climbed nearly 17%.
It was the second straight quarter in the green for the S&P.

https://www.axios.com/2023/04/03/stocks-notch-second-straight-quarterly-gain-2023-q1

 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 Scree128

edit - bump
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:04 am

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 236,000 in March, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in leisure and hospitality, government, professional and business services, and health care.

The labor force participation rate, at 62.6 percent, continued to trend up in March. The employment-population ratio edged up over the month to 60.4 percent. These measures remain below their pre-pandemic February 2020 levels (63.3 percent and 61.1 percent, respectively). (See table A-1.)

In March, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 9 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $33.18. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.2 percent. In March, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees rose by 9 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $28.50. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for January was revised down by 32,000, from +504,000 to +472,000, and the change for February was revised up by 15,000, from +311,000 to +326,000. With these revisions, employment in January and February combined is 17,000 lower than previously reported.



https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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Post by Trapper Gus Fri May 05, 2023 10:55 pm

Finally, the Labor Department added to the good mood Friday morning when it reported that the U.S. economy added 235,000 non-farm jobs in April, well above the 180,000 new jobs economists had predicted following more than a year of aggressive interest rate increases by an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve.

bump!
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Post by Trapper Gus Wed May 10, 2023 11:00 am

NEW YORK (AP) — A relieved Wall Street is rising after a report showed inflation is making strides toward easing, even if it remains too high. The S&P 500 was 0.3% higher early Wednesday. The Dow little changed while the Nasdaq composite rose 0.7%. Bond prices also climbed after the highly anticipated report said inflation at the consumer level was 4.9% last month, down from 5% in March and the lowest level in two years. That was slightly better than expected, allowing investors to bolster bets that the Federal Reserve will stop hiking interest rates and give the economy some breathing room.

https://apnews.com/article/stock-market-banks-rate-recession-03a3d5645abed697699f83a8e3b05366

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Post by Trapper Gus Fri May 19, 2023 11:58 am

Fewer Americans applied for jobless benefits last week after a previous spike that some took as a sign that higher interest rates were finally cooling the labor market.

Applications for jobless claims for the week ending May 6 fell by 22,000 to 242,000, from 264,000 the week before, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The weekly claims numbers are broadly as representative of the number of U.S. layoffs.

The four-week moving average of claims, which flattens some of the week-to-week fluctuations, ticked down by 1,000 to 244,250. Analysts have pointed to a sustained increase in the four-week averages as a sign that layoffs are accelerating, but are reluctant to predict that a spike in layoffs is imminent.

https://www.voanews.com/a/fewer-americans-apply-for-jobless-benefits-labor-market-still-showing-strength/7098725.html

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Post by Trapper Gus Thu May 25, 2023 7:10 pm

First revision of 1st Qtr GDP goes from 1.1% annual rate to 1.3% annual rate.

NPR reports, "Revision shows economy barely grows."

I guess something closer to zero would be barely growing while an increase of 1.3% might be growing slower than last year.

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 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 Empty Oh Noes! UE is up to 3.7% President Biden is a Failure! /s

Post by Trapper Gus Fri Jun 02, 2023 9:34 am

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 339,000 in May, and the unemployment rate rose by 0.3 percentage point to 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, government, health care, construction, transportation and warehousing, and social assistance.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

The labor force participation rate held at 62.6 percent in May, and the employment-population ratio, at 60.3 percent, was little changed.
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Post by Trapper Gus Tue Jun 13, 2023 9:54 am

https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-update-close

Gosh, I'm going to bump this for its original purpose...

bump
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Jun 30, 2023 9:27 am

 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 Scree165

Only the MSM can turn a positive into a negative...

https://www.axios.com/2023/06/30/biden-stock-market-economy-trump-obama
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Post by Trapper Gus Sat Jul 01, 2023 8:09 pm

Looked at the 401k today, seems like the markets are doing okay.

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Post by Trapper Gus Sun Jul 02, 2023 10:14 am

Investors toasted the surprising resilience of the U.S. economy Friday by lifting the S&P 500® Index (SPX) to its highest close in more than 14 months and handing the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) its strongest first-half performance in four decades.

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Post by GRR Spartan Sun Jul 02, 2023 11:31 am

But but but is all about LIBERTY an’ FREEDOM an’ gubment trying to take away our country.
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Post by Trapper Gus Fri Jul 07, 2023 10:19 am

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction.

Bidenomics just keeps chugging out jobs for the 99%.  Inflation has fallen to what were considered a great number during the Bush administration.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

In June, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 12 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $33.58. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.4 percent. In June, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees rose by 11 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $28.83

Inflation at 4%, wages increased by 4.4%. the 99% are gaining economically.
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Fri Jul 07, 2023 11:03 am

man, I bet Guest is livid.  Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 502811600

bump.
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Post by DWags Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:26 am

[tw]1684307141711069193?s=46&t=o_-92Ldle66XHQBlJVUMFQ[/tw]
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Post by AvgMSUJoe Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:31 am

Despite all if the good news, Dingleberry said they will probably raise rates again... seems like he's not going to be happy until millions of 'mericans lose their jobs.
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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:38 am

AvgMSUJoe wrote:Despite all if the good news, Dingleberry said they will probably raise rates again... seems like he's not going to be happy until millions of 'mericans lose their jobs.

Pretty much this!  The Fed sees high employment as the only driver of inflation, ignoring the real inflation drivers.  Further more the old people at the Fed have never been happy with low interest rates, it doesn't fit their models for their (imaginary) economy and how to control it.

Moving the discount window rates into the 5% region has been their "wet dream" since 2008.

Bump
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Post by Trapper Gus Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:52 am

GDP 2nd Qtr was 2.4%

Blowing past the predictions.

Inflation as measured by personal consumption price index is also 2.6%

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/27/gdp-q2-2023-.html

Bump


Last edited by Trapper Gus on Fri Jul 28, 2023 9:16 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Robert J Sakimano Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:07 am

Exclusive footage of the America-lovin' patriots in Mio.
 Bump when these numbers move - Page 15 200.gif?cid=ddb306a5sulusq1nw88xqnu9m56v5i025tp5r0sszzdztt07&ep=v1_gifs_search&rid=200

Bump.
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Post by kingstonlake Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:27 am

Get back to me when the overall cost of goods drops the 17% they’ve risen the last few years AND wage increases stay where they are. Then we’ll talk…..
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