Not a good week for The Donald - 538 projects his chance of winning is 21.6% (Update 11.0%)

Chance of winning:

Hillary Clinton
78.4%

Donald Trump
21.6%


http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

The race will tighten, as it usually does. There's a lot of time before the General, and so many more things could happen between then and now. I still think Hills has it, mostly because I can't begin to envision an America with Trump as its president.

tGreenWay wrote:The race will tighten, as it usually does. There's a lot of time before the General, and so many more things could happen between then and now. I still think Hills has it, mostly because I can't begin to envision an America with Trump as its president.

I'm guessing voter turnout will be incredibly low, too.

At least neither party will have much of a case for blaming the "3rd party problem" for it.

I think the republicans better start putting the presidency aside and worry about the house and senate.

However, this shit is far from over. Hills will probably step on her dick a couple times too.

DWags wrote:I think the republicans better start putting the presidency aside and worry about the house and senate.  

However, this shit is far from over.  Hills will probably step on her dick a couple times too.  

The more they distance themselves from DJT, the better chance they have of winning their house/senate races. Saw that yesterday in some 538 piece, I think

Just take the GOP out back and put them out of their misery. They're a dying party. We're virtually a one party system as it is, might as well make it official.

xsanguine wrote:Just take the GOP out back and put them out of their misery. They're a dying party. We're virtually a one party system as it is, might as well make it official.

Except the GOP currently has control of the House and Senate, has 31 governorships compared to the D's 18, and has control of both the governorship and state legislative body in 23 states compared to the D's control of seven states.

Turtleneck wrote:

xsanguine wrote:Just take the GOP out back and put them out of their misery. They're a dying party. We're virtually a one party system as it is, might as well make it official.

Except the GOP currently has control of the House and Senate, has 31 governorships compared to the D's 18, and has control of both the governorship and state legislative body in 23 states compared to the D's control of seven states.

Turtleneck wrote:

xsanguine wrote:Just take the GOP out back and put them out of their misery. They're a dying party. We're virtually a one party system as it is, might as well make it official.

Except the GOP currently has control of the House and Senate, has 31 governorships compared to the D's 18, and has control of both the governorship and state legislative body in 23 states compared to the D's control of seven states.

You right, you right.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:though Hillary is the most prepared presidential candidate we've had in probably the last 4-5 elections, this is a long way from over. Next time you're out in public, take a look at the collective Americans that will be deciding the election.. that's enough to ensure that Trump does, indeed, still have a chance.

wow, fresh, Bob judging people by sight again. So funny and witty.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

DWags wrote:

wow, fresh, Bob judging people by sight again. So funny and witty.

I'll check with you the next time I have an opinion on something.. just to make sure it's okay.

Looking at blackies, can you just tell they're criminals? Or is it bad when cops and others do it but funny and witty when you do it?

Do you ever get tired of being a piece of shit hypocrite?

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

DWags wrote:

Looking at blackies, can you just tell they're criminals? Or is it bad when cops and others do it but funny and witty when you do it?

Do you ever get tired of being a piece of shit hypocrite?

no..

nor do I ever get tired of needling at people who are easy to needle at.

Kinda makes this thread a little disingenuous,  doesn't it Bob?

https://spartanswill.forumotion.com/t12141-what-s-up-guys

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

DWags wrote:

Looking at blackies, can you just tell they're criminals? Or is it bad when cops and others do it but funny and witty when you do it?

Do you ever get tired of being a piece of shit hypocrite?

no..

nor do I ever get tired of needling at people who are easy to needle at.

Of course, it's just needling. Others are mean spirited racists misogynists. Not you. You're witty and fresh. We know that.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

DWags wrote:

Of course, it's just needling. Others are mean spirited racists misogynists. Not you. You're witty and fresh. We know that.

If you're getting tied of someone, here's how you can ignore them (a brief tutorial)

Why? I love pointing out assholes hypocrisy. You'd love me to ignore it, but it's way too much fun.

Needling?

You're too stupid to ignore. More fun will be right around the corner.

UPDATE:

Chance of winning

Hillary Clinton
81.7%

Donald Trump
18.3%

GO GREEN

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

Watch Out Pylon! wrote:

Kinda makes this thread a little disingenuous,  doesn't it Bob?

https://spartanswill.forumotion.com/t12141-what-s-up-guys

as I've said, I don't mind needling at people who allow themselves to be needled at. However, it's the more mean-spirited posts that myself and others should be more conscientious of.

you're a great American, a damn fine Spartan and I know you join me in looking forward to when our Spartans take the field this fall.

GO GREEN!!

Oh, and please don't put "just looking at people and being able to tell who they are and what they're like" in that "mean spirited" category.

If cops and you started doing that we'd lose the ability to shake our head and chuckle at the short sighted narrow minded pieces of shit hypocrites that walk among us.

Go green.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

NigelUno wrote:UPDATE:

Chance of winning

Hillary Clinton
81.7%

Donald Trump
18.3%

GO GREEN

it'll get closer - always does.. even with a misogynistic racist bigot like Trump.. I suspect Hillary will probably win by 3-4 percentage points.

GO WHITE!!!

His odds of winning will improve? Not sure about that.

Unless, Mrs. C takes a big hit on something.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:though Hillary is the most prepared presidential candidate we've had in probably the last 4-5 elections, this is a long way from over. Next time you're out in public, take a look at the collective Americans that will be deciding the election.. that's enough to ensure that Trump does, indeed, still have a chance.

Damn, Bob sounds reasonable with this post

Huge surge for Trump. Up to 18.4%.

Can't fight it, minus well join it!! When can I get my welfare checks?? I want to benefit from the liberalism. Not going to be a sucker that just pays. I've been cheated and want mine.

The_Dude wrote:Can't fight it, minus well join it!! When can I get my welfare checks?? I want to benefit from the liberalism. Not going to be a sucker that just pays. I've been cheated and want mine.

YAFI

The_Dude wrote:Can't fight it, minus well join it!! When can I get my welfare checks?? I want to benefit from the liberalism. Not going to be a sucker that just pays. I've been cheated and want mine.

Lol you're so short sighted it's hilarious.

Travis of the Cosmos wrote:

The_Dude wrote:Can't fight it, minus well join it!! When can I get my welfare checks?? I want to benefit from the liberalism. Not going to be a sucker that just pays. I've been cheated and want mine.

Lol you're so short sighted it's hilarious.

While he complains about "liberalism," he advocates for a single payer health care system.

The_Dude wrote:

Rocinante wrote:It's cool, when trump runs all the pubes over to Hilary's side, she'll have a responsive congress to work with. You think the aca was foisted on you? You ain't seen nothing, bitches.

Im in agreement with healthcare--the faster we get to a single payer system, the better.

Turtleneck wrote:

Travis of the Cosmos wrote:

Lol you're so short sighted it's hilarious.

While he complains about "liberalism," he advocates for a single payer health care system.

The_Dude wrote:

Im in agreement with healthcare--the faster we get to a single payer system, the better.

You ever notice that during the week he always posts mid to late afternoon right after rush tells him what to think and to be outraged about for the day, then if he posts at other times his thoughts are a lot more scattered, confused and indefensible? I dunno. I just find that interesting.

The_Dude wrote:Can't fight it, minus well join it!! When can I get my welfare checks?? I want to benefit from the liberalism. Not going to be a sucker that just pays. I've been cheated and want mine.

     

YAFI

Update: 13.4%

It's the teleprompters.
When Trump uses them it shows he means business and looks professional.  
When Clinton uses them she's weak, forgetful and needs them as a crutch.

I guess Trump never saw The Graduate.  The word is "Plastics" not expanding coal mines and rebuilding steel plants.

12.4%

13.6%

12.7%