Not a good week for The Donald - 538 projects his chance of winning is 21.6% (Update 11.0%)

NigelUno wrote:

DWags wrote:Don't trust polls this year. I'm telling you.

There's a chance Trump is underrepresented in the polls.

And vice versa for Hillary.

been saying it all along, I wouldn't be surprised if Cheeto Hitler (who Goose doesn't support) pulls it out.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

NigelUno wrote:Chance of winning:
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
72.2%
Donald Trump
27.8%

Electoral votes:
Hillary Clinton
302.2
Donald Trump
235.0

if this rings true tonight, poor Goose might have to be put on life support.

Yeah since she will have won by less than I predicted. You and your son Turtle need to read more before making "Goose" forecasts.

LooseGoose wrote:

Robert J Sakimano wrote:if this rings true tonight, poor Goose might have to be put on life support.

Yeah since she will have won by less than I predicted. You and your son Turtle need to read more before making "Goose" forecasts.

I'm not gonna be a jerk.. (as promised) - but you just make it so easy..

#NeverTrump

DWags wrote:Don't trust polls this year. I'm telling you.

Bump

Hahahahahahahaha. This is a bad comedy. Good call dwags. I was completely utterly wrong.

Robert J Sakimano wrote:

DWags wrote:Don't trust polls this year. I'm telling you.

I don't ever trust pills.

I'm a bit more of a homeopathic guy.

NTTAWWT

If and buts but the GOP got their voters out, the Trump campaign got their demo's and the GOP effectively kept more of their voters in the fold.

A close election where the 3rd/4th party candidates and sometimes just the 3rd party made the difference between winning or losing.

xsanguine wrote:Hahahahahahahaha. This is a bad comedy. Good call dwags. I was completely utterly wrong.

Believe your eyes. Driving through Wisconsin this summer and Michigan all fall, you saw nothing but Trump signs. Those friends who were voting trump were definitely going to the polls. Hilliary were take it or leave it. Trump rallies were crazy.

Finally, the dumb ass democrats the day before the election in Pennsylvania, say to America "Hey, if you're not sick of the same old same old, here's Bill, Obama, his wife, and Hills to remind you you'll get four more years of it.... oh yeah and here's two artists from the early 90's to put a lid on it". And if Trump was appealing to racists at all ( not saying he was) let's get Jay Z and Beyoncé in crackalack Ohio to rally those rural folk.

Stats are for losers. This election was about people not numbers. One side tapped into it. Whether you want to call it tapping into fears or people's dark side is up to you. But just talking and listening to people you had to know those polls were shaky at best.

I agree. We learned once again that pre election polling is utter horseshit.